RE: BUYS7 Mar 2025 08:50
Fair play those are hefty purchases. However, few appear to be following whomever has done those big buys...
There's no demand for CPI stock for several reasons IMO:
1. Forward forecast is for flat 2025 revenues and with the macroeconomic situation & turbulence that forecast is rather ambitious. Particularly because the recent results were only in profit due to Capita One sale. Without that sale the figs would have been terrible.
2. There's still much more cost cutting yet required to be undertaken, CPI have been clear about that. Meaning more FCF spend yet will be put towards those efforts, CPI has to spend money in order to save money.
3. No divi - with inflation elevated for LTH's CPI is not going to payout any reliable income in the meantime. Pension funds in particular like divi paying stocks, as do PI's seeking out diversity in portfolios to net annual income.
4. CPI needs to keep spending on AI investments but... it's lacking FCF headroom.
5. It looks likely AH will seek to embark on more asset fire sales, the latest results did signal this to be the case. Any investor doing their homework will see this and know they risk buying into a shrinking company, one which has already undergone significant shrinkage. The trend still has not yet stabilised to a level plateau yet, that can be seen in the financial figs when looking at the % changes for the various CPI divisions.
Recovery, if it can be pulled off here by AH is still a long long way off IMO - DYOR.