RE: SRA737 + PD-L1 in SCLC!12 Jul 2019 10:56
Aber – I do agree. The market is awash with expert articles advocating new remedies that will change the world. Unfortunately, as ASCO demonstrated, we are just a whisper in the wind without someone who is going to bang the SAR gong. Many on this well informed board have highlighted all the pieces that make for a very attractive future for SAR – strong clinical results, the withdrawal of the data sheets, US Army/Lupus data yet to be released, lack of information=NDA must be in place, Tim’s ‘significant’ phrasing in RNS’s and interviews etc. However, as I have pointed out on previous occasions there is a huge gap in the SAR team – a deal maker. REDX have achieved ‘significant’ SP value recovery (5p up to 12p) driven by an aggressive CEO, Reneuron are now moving up strongly on very thin but positive news etc. If we look at the SAR team we have excellent scientists in Tim and John, an experienced NED on the biotech side (Owen) and a corporate financial policeman in Birch. Parker might be a good industry ‘figurehead’ but no one in the team could be classed as a deal maker. I would put money on the Sierra deal having been driven by ICR with SAR along for the ride. With respect to 737 milestones we are just a passenger on this train and currently the train is stuck in the station. With regard to the other arm of SAR if a pharma does licence TYK2 then I fear that the deal will be driven by an approach from an interested party rather than our esteemed chairman driving the discussion. Knowing the value of what you have (as demonstrated in the 2018 RNS) is not the same as being able to sell it at that value. A few have pointed out that the placings are getting smaller each time. That’s not because SAR doesn’t need the money, its because the SP is at a level where to gain the required amounts would need a severe dilution. The withdrawal of the Data Sheets is not an indication of an NDA IMO, they should never have been on the website in the first place! The analysts report earlier this year identified that SAR should be trading in the 0.8-1.2p range. We are currently half of the lower end of the range despite ‘good news’. So why the griping tone of this post? Because although I remain optimistic that we will see value eventually (at this rate it will be 2023 not 2020 as Tim hopes), it won’t be with the current team unless they get off their padded posteriors. I’d love to think that much hard work is being done behind the scenes and I’m being unduly harsh but realistically I think we are heading for a bloody AGM and I don’t want the BoD thinking they weren’t warned. Just because we’re ‘hanging on by our shoelaces’ doesn’t mean as shareholders we can’t express our frustration and demand more. The worst thing we can do is keep quiet because that implies acceptance of the situation. GLA