RE: Hasty Buys6 Mar 2019 11:18
The SFO investigation outcome will ultimately boil down to whether PFC had an effective counter bribery and corruption culture, policy, system of governance, risk management framework in place to prevent and detect systemic bribery and corruption occurring, alongside how they have engaged with and supported the SFO in their investigation and dealt with the issues. I like to look at Rolls-Royce as an analogy . . Even if the SFO finds against PFC (which I guess that they will in some part) the SFO has no interest in breaking companies unless they are currently ‘bad’ which given the response from those charged with governance at PFC doesn’t seem to be the case, therefore I predict a Deferred Procesution Agreement and a fine as a proportion of the revenues generated over the period of any proven bribery and corruption. This is being shorted by a bunch of hedgies (mostly US?) who tend to hunt in packs, once SFO uncertainty is settled, I predict an extremely strong rebound . . . Cheers! Red