RE: Too Cheap29 Jun 2021 15:21
Oil outlook from Cenkos, things are looking good for all producers, especially those who are not hamstrung by heavy debt, hope to see ptal revival continue.
Oil posted its fifth straight weekly gain, the longest winning streak since December, as demand recovers, and supplies continue tighten in the US and China. Futures in New York rose 3.4% this week to the highest level since October 2018. Demand continues to rebound while the market expects output will only get a modest increase from the OPEC+ alliance, which meets next week to discuss supply policy. Stockpiles are draining rapidly as fuel consumption rebounds in key regions including the US and Europe. At the same time, the prospect of an imminent surge of Iranian oil is diminishing as talks to revive a nuclear deal drag on. The increasingly bullish picture is helping to fan speculation that Brent may eventually return to $100 a barrel. JPMorgan Chase & Co increased an estimate for 2021 global demand for crude by 200,000 barrels per day, with the majority of that gain coming from China. US demand would stay strong until September, the report said. Gasoline futures fell Friday after the Supreme Court announced that the Environmental Protection Agency has wide latitude to exempt refineries from federal mandates that they mix renewable fuels into gasoline and diesel. The decision marks a victory for oil companies that have sought a break from the requirements, arguing that costs have skyrocketed in the recent months. Prices ? West Texas Intermediate for August delivery rose 75 cents to settle at $74.05 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. ? Brent for August settlement rose 62 cents to end session at $76.18 on the ICE Futures Europe exchange. The world’s third-biggest oil consumer India has called for an increase in output from OPEC and its allies, saying high crude prices are adding to inflationary pressure. India’s transport fuel demand is expected to grow in double digits next year, according to Icra Ltd. Though Saudi Arabia has said the group has a role in “containing” inflation, it has signalled they will move cautiously, as the market remains fragile. The average gain forecast by analysts stood at 550,000 barrels a day -- barely a quarter of the global supply deficit that the alliance anticipates during August.