Member Info for PTBrown1963

Interesting times JATW

Nice bounce yesterday raised a smile but this is far from sorted. Markets haven’t really priced in the. longer term implications. I guess we’ll just have to wait and see

I don’t believe it’s done guys, any thoughts? I have small holdings here and PRU and cash on the sidelines. I don’t feel like I missed anything today but I did chuckle at some of the bounces.

Hope y’all do well if I’m wrong.

Just throwing it out there….

Do you think Trump is deliberately trying to tank the global economy? Does he figure that the USA Is more resilient than the rest and can sit on pop of a massive pile of pooh that he has created?

Just a thought but was Jackson not spun off post £19 and possibly M&G?

Nice to see a bit of chat again on the board

I agree about ‘forward looking’ comment right now, I made a couple of good investments last year, CPi, MRO and PRU that all retraced quite rapidly and close together when they reported decent performance in 2026. I’d taken a decent chunk of profit. Then the war came……

I personally would like to hear more detail around AI as the insurers/software were impacted hard when the AI disruption scare caused a sell off. On the other hand, maybe he sees it as bllsht, not worthy of consideration….

Sorry, would help if I got his name right!!

AM should AW (Anil Wadwhani)

The results look great, showing 4 quarters of consistent double digit growth on new business profit, amongst other highlights. As this is in line with guidance, the price had risen slightly on HSI at time of posting. Guidance for 2026 & 2027 remains unchanged.

I sold 80% of my holding when AI panic then WW Iran hit. I’ve just lost confidence because of market volatility. I love the company and want to believe that there is no limit to the upside but I’m wondering if the market has now priced in ‘consistent, double digit growth’ and that it now requires more to shift the needle.

Listened to AM on CNBC China Connection.

Regarding AI, he highlighted the high demand for face-to-face advice for the Asian customer and how AI would improve quality and speed of advice as well strengthening experience of sales agent and customer. Added that having invested in ‘modernising’ tech infrastructure, they were in a position to imbed AI analytics in to all systems - thought it was a bit waffly (not a reflection on the great man)… No doubt the analyst briefing will provide more clarity on this

It’s Trump chaos, the man is a wrecking ball. It all started with tariffs, remember that pantomime……

Me too. Hate to hop about but markets are in correction mode anyway. I’m quite downbeat about farther reaching, unforeseen consequences of these actions

extracts from times article 28 feb

melrose has been an aerospace pureplay since 2023 having sold off all its previous assets and spun out the automotive arm of gkn.

it had been known that gkn aerospace was a multi-year turnaround job which had not been helped by the dislocations of the covid-19 pandemic. on friday peter dilnot, its chief executive, said: “the transformation programme [has been] completed providing excellent foundation for growth. we have positive momentum.”

what spooked investors was what dilnot admitted are “the challenges in civil aerospace” and profit guidance which was below what analysts had been forecasting.

melrose said in 2026 that, compared with a figure last year of £647 million, it expects to make operating profits of between £700 million and £750 million.

even at the top end that is light of consensus due to its airframes or aircraft structures business likely coming in at least 10 per cent below projections. that aircraft parts business works for airbus and boeing, the world's two largest aircraft manufacturers who have both had their own production delays for varying reasons.

despite that £1 billion defence business, melrose has missed out on the so-called war-dividend for stocks exposed to combating geopolitical uncertainties such as bae systems, rolls-royce and bab****. while those stocks and others in the defence industry have tripled and quadrupled and more in price since russia invaded ukraine four years ago, melrose has barely doubled.

Down 13%. What am I missing?

Any thoughts out there?

Let’s see if if JHuang can talk up sentiment

https://www.cnbc.com/2026/02/26/nvidia-jensen-huang-gpu-ai-threat-software-companies-saas-earnings-chips.html

Https://www.cnbc.com/2026/02/26/china-lunar-new-year-holiday-spending-signal-consumer-stimulus-outlook.html

It is often stated that the upward trajectory of a shareprice is not a straight line.

By way of encouragement, the last big swing down during PRU’s current bull run is summarised below:

Cl. SP 28 Mar 25 £8.31

Cl SP 09 April 25 £7.03

Cl SP 12 May 25 £8.35

I’m correct in saying that there appear to be no specific concerns about PRU and that we find ourselves caught up in a bit of market jitter?

I’m not saying that this won’t fall further but I personally see any further dip as a buying opportunity

Chin up, hold your nerve

Did China invade Taiwan? Market doesn’t understand impact of AI and how well run businesses will embrace the technology. I trust Pru to be ahead of the AI curve. Annoying to get caught out today, bought in heavy at just under 1120, but I am a believer. Will sit tight and may be tempted below 10.50, subject to no bad news.

James Oxford

I see massive upside here and have rode the rise from below £7.

I tried to trade over January and couldn’t quite catch the swings - a small profit that was hardly worth the effort

You predicted a quiet jan/feb and that’s what’s happening.

Pru is my only investment, keeping powder dry for now, I have a ton of cash

I hang on your words from here….

I rarely get disappointed and roll with the ups and downs but this is beyond disappointing

Tried to ignore the noise but it has to be the leadership……

Agree, maybe not today, price action doesn’t make sense. Topped up myself, expect a bounce back from here

John31, I have tried your strategy historically and over the medium term, say 1 year, I have found very little difference when you factor in charges, compared to sitting tight. I’m long on Pru with a lovely gain to date but I still buy and sell the dips with a stop loss because it’s fun but you have to be lucky. I withdraw profit immediately and offset the losses in my mind against the portfolio gains. Just wondering where you see your next entry point

There’s no news coming out on this company, it’s a sitting target for the shorts

I’m holding and buying the dip if it drops some more

Interesting comments from Palantir CEO on short sellers

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mqa1yEd891o

In my opinion, the price rise has been overdone based on a single, optimistic Price target. Nothing else has changed. I jumped on board on Monday and made a nice profit from the sudden rise in the SP, a quick smash and grab if you like. I think the share price will give back some of the gains in the coming days so I can understand why Cap FM would seek to profit from this. Having said that, I have a small, long term holding in Capita and retained a small amount of my purchase on Monday. I remain interested in the business’s progress; I believe the turnaround plan under current leadership will succeed and patient shareholders will be rewarded.

We all have our strategies and plans, good luck to you all