Member Info for PTBrown1963

Agreed. OK at best
LTH so happy with core investment.Happy to continue holding
Doubled my holding yesterday in the hope of a quick.profit.You win some you lose some……

The market is waiting for the results tomorrow.
I think some anticipation is in the share price already but I am betting on a hefty rise if the results are strong. They ought to be!!! This board regularly discusses the positive news flow over the last number of months in conjunction with the lack of share price growth.
Tomorrow is catchup day.
Good luck everybody.

I’m very positive on Rolls but share price will only recover on good news ie. improving earnings; the ducks are all lined up for Rolls but
not sure this rally is going anywhere so be cautious I’m not adding anything right now, holding 50% portfolio in cash

The market has no idea what is going to happen and is marking down prices across the board.
If RR continues to report progress, as they did today, then the price will recover well.
I'm a long term investor now but happy to buy dips after today's interim update.
In the mean time, hang on because markets are going to be volatile.

Full year results stated margin erosion and uncertain outlook. Debt reducing but still high. No dividend. I believe prospects are good but needs patience.
I’m holding for the longer term so happy to top up below 90p.

RR margins are going to be hit as material costs increase and supply chain bottlenecks emerge, they flagged the margin squeeze in their last results report. I presume they have limited scope to pass on increases
What share of undoubted increase in global defence spend will RR benefit from?
Nuclear is once again becoming a viable option and we know RR has exciting technology in that arena.
Flight hours will improve as world travel opens up but to what extent will recovery be hit by fuel costs and geo-pol risk.
I feel fall is overdone, would love to read some analyst reports on bear and bull cases

II expect this to bounce around for a bit longer (Taiwan/Ukraine fears when it suits the market).
This is a no brainer now, in my opininion, but will require patience now

1.Air travel wiil increase (hopefully no regressive covid variants)
2. Airbus expect strong demand outlook moving forward
3. Rolls Royce SMR innovation

Revenues will filter through in to earnings eventually and I'm not sure the market is pricing this in at this price level. I see share price hitting £2 over next 18 months

Anybody want to burst my bubble?

Tech in correction territory, don’t think the results will unsettle the shorts
Hope I’m wrong

The message I'm getting from the markets is that RR recovery is well underway but with 40% revenues derived from aviation and flying hours particularly, this will remain volatile until a higher degree of certainty returns to air travel generally. We are sadly linked to the fortunes of airlines which is fair enough given the reliance on flying hours.

It would have been interesting to see the reaction had Omicron variant not emerged.

Market was due a correction in US particularly but shares globally will fall as well. Narrative around Omicron coupled with Powell now seeing inflation being less ‘transient’ we now have a correction underway. I believe markets will recover through Q1 2022 and I plan to buy on further dips.

It hardly matters how far RR falls if you are a LT investor. Based on recent news flow I think the company is worth more than £1.35.

Media portrayal of omicron seems focused on creating fear and gloom . At worst, omicron variant is an inconvenience, early indications are that effects are milder; vaccines won’t be ineffective, treatments won’t be ineffective, in less than 100 days the pharmas will have a vaccine with higher efficacy if needed.

THE UNVACCINATED ARE THE BIGGEST RISK, EACH PROVIDES IS A POTENTIAL HOST THAT ALLOWS THIS VIRUS TO SPREAD AND MUTATE.

Scratchy, that is blatant scare mongering

I think the government is right to approach this the way it has and we should remain calm until the scientists have completed their tests.

It is too early to know for sure what the impact of this of these mutations will but there are many things to be positive about:

1. The mutation has taken place amongst a poorly vaccinated population in Africa
2. Scientists understand so much about covid at this stage of the pandemic and we have many vaccines and treatments
3. The mutation is relatively close in timing to delta mutation and therefore less likely to evade said vaccines and treatments

I say restrict the unvaccinated. If you are not vaccinated you are likely to carry a high virus load when infected and this accelerates the spread compared to someone immunised with the a booster jab. I stand to be corrected but I understand that the viral load in a booster immunised individual, even if infected, is likely to be too low to spread the virus.

The market reaction is fairly predictable and typically overdone at this stage - I see this as a buying opportunity unless there is evidence that the omicron strain is spreading through the vaccinated

Sorry Valueplay, just caught up with your earlier post

Take it you’re in Valueplay?
Why now?
£1.75 resistance?

Sorry for 3rd degree, I’m a nosey ****

It’s got to hold up at some level

Picked up at few just before close as a purely speculative punt
Tbh I don’t think this changes much short term

Ingenuity valuation = accounting irregularity

I’ll bet somebody thought it out loud, next thing it’s going to clients. Seen it happen

It’s a ‘fantastic business’ struggling with its valuation
I fear it hasn’t reached below the bottom estimate of it’s fair value
I would love to see the valuation models used by the analysts

Hi Valueplay. Like you’re thinking but red flags are all out there already - the business knows what it has to do around improving governance which will include ‘gagging’ MM. That’s the easy bit.

I think you need to forget where the SP has come from; to maintain a valuation of a couple of billion will require a regular news flow of Ingenuity (global )deals in the millions. The market is clearly not impressed with current financial performance or future prospects given what we know. No news flow = no value increase

I’ve been following this since flotation, loving the story without fully understanding the business. Thanks to this board my understanding has improved.

Unfortunately the loss in confidence suffered as a result of the disastrous presentation means that, in the short term, there is no support for the price and it’s a penalty kick for the short sellers. This business needs to get its governance sorted, that is what is expected now, so I wouldn’t expect any movement on share price on further governance related news. Going forward, IMO, it will take a series of stellar headlines to support the price and add value. How long? If I knew that………

I’m patiently waiting for an entry point.

It’s volatile, but trend is upwards
It’s a long term play now possibly as far out as when they announce return to dividend payments
News flow is all positive so downside limited
I’m prepared for a dip when interims are released in Dec if any combo of free cash flow/eps/debt reduction falls short of expectation

Should have a bb for day traders on;y, leave the intelligent discussions to real investors