RE: Prerequisites22 May 2023 09:27
Lloyds seems to lag in the doldrums and no matter what good news pops up e.g. profit levels, it still holds at well below market assessment of value. Been holding shares for 15+ years. Value wise I still think it is a good investment for dividend potential, but Brexit, Covid, Ukraine/ Russia war keep kicking the share price (though to be fair this is the case with many other shares). If it wasn't for the repeated buy-backs - personally - I think the share price would be on its knees. The buy-back is propping up the price, which is why I think the board keeps opting for it, in place of a higher dividend. If the share price got to low 60's I'd be out, but will hang fire for now.
If the housing market drops in next 6-12 months, it'll be another drag on price. If the housing market just about keeps it's head up, we could be on for a better run. Saying that, with Lloyds new residential investment in property, it could start hoovering cheap property or compete with housing associations for new development sites (which it appears focussed to), which in the long run could offer a solid return on rental income. If it starts buying bankrupt/ forced seller homes though I'd expect a big political fall out if/ when Labour/ Lid dem coalition come in.
Shame the planning system is knackered as well and house builder rates look set to fall off a cliff (but this could prop up prices as demand will always be there for an under-supplied market. Interesting times!