RE: A moment of clarity19 Oct 2023 23:00
@PM2022
Just to be clear my view remains that I do not believe that TherormRX will get funded.
I don’t believe one jot any of the hype and unproven whispers in this forum and via twitter. As per my post at 15.05 today Re: Merger Completion. There is only HYPE and PUMP here to inflate the SP to get the placing away and absolutely ZERO proven FACTS. IF they have funds ready to deploy, TRANSFER THE MONEY.
Since the excessive ramping and hype started three weeks ago from 5p the focus has all been on TherormRX and what they may or may not achieve.
In reality, this business has nothing to do with us, we are NOT invested in THX we are invested in VAL our concern is if Suzy giving 201 to THX was a good commercial decision for shareholders or not. I am saying it was not due to the constant failure to deliver on numerous timelines, the lost time to market and moreover that Shareholders cash has been used to fund VAL due to THX not paying anything over, not even initial promises on lab fees. Their track record stinks, frankly. That’s how I see it.
Now the debate has centred on this motion that “funds are ready to deploy” on them merging with EDUA, which is false, they might think they can raise but they have thought that for over 2 years and never delivered but, despite that fact these two aspects are mutually exclusive. Let me clarify: -
1. THX may or may not merge, maybe they will but there will be a process to do that once heads of terms are agreed. Est 6-12 mths to complete from that point IMO with DD.
2. THX as the new entity if 1 above happens, can then TRY to raise funds in that new legal framework BUT there is no guarantee of success. This will also be a process including DD. Est 6-12 mths on that one aspect alone with the wind in the right direction, in addition, IF at all.
So very simply, due to VALs cash runway position and the timelines, as I see it, this just doesn’t work. Suzy has no option but to request support for a placing from shareholders as VAL are out of funds at the turn of the year. Because the placing involves new resolutions being passed and they must give 14 days notice of an EGM realistically they need to sort this any moment.
This is why I am 100% convinced the ramping is a direct requirement to pump the Share Price, if it can remain above 10p hopefully VAL will get support to place at 3p or 4p after discount very shortly.
BUT consider this, if you are asked to support the discounted placing you have to ask yourself, will this cash they will likely claim will bridge the working capital until THX come up with the money (at best second quarter 2024 if at all) OR will THX still not deliver in 2024? and further if THX fail to deliver again, that’s cash you just wasted and you will need to support yet another placing before next years AGM. That’s the gamble, isn’t it? Do you have the same confidence in THX that VAL do. Frankly, I don’t.
But that’s the decision you will need to make very shortly IMO.