Not all Businesses Play with a Straight Bat28 Oct 2023 18:22
I appreciate that several rampers here and over in the telegram group are hype and ramping this for all its worth and certainly don’t like any view that doesn’t follow the ramping agenda.
However, I genuinely feel there is a heck of a lot of naivety shown by both the BOD and many of the rampers here. Business is Business at the end of the day.
The thing is IF THX merge with EDUA or not, their sole responsibility is to their shareholders. It’s a business they are not a charity, and neither are Valirx, but the merged business owes Valirx nothing, if they wanted to, they could renegotiate the terms of the LOI. The market has significantly changed over the last few years. They would be well within their rights to do that.
As for all this talk that THX could take a position and building by stealth is just total wishful thinking.
Just to play devils advocate here, if I were THX and in a cash position, I would just kick this into the long grass by a couple of months, let VAL run out of cash. VAL would then need to do a heavily discounted placing that’s if they could get support and I could swoop at that point and pick up all the assets cheap in administration or bid a couple of mil for the entire business then pie off the lab business.
Shock horror, I hear you all saying but that’s business, this is not a charity, and some are bloody ruthless out there so don’t sit there thinking its all-plain sailing. THX may or may not merge with EDUA, if they did they then need to reverse into TMT (if that information relates to THX it could still be a red herring and nothing to do with them) then with cash the new company has to decide how its spent, do they renegotiate, do they let VAL crash and buy up the assets, do they activate other LOIs and not VALS? Also, the new entity can take as long as it likes/ needs to. They are under zero timeline pressure, but Valirx are, that makes Valirx a target if VAL don’t create a plan B should THX not come through as hoped for or in VALs desired timeline.
My view remains that its not possible even with the wind in the right direction to cover off DD and all the legals and structures before VAL run out of cash hence, why I believe this is being ramped to high heaven to support a discounted placing as low as 2p depending on support.
IMO VAL would be really stupid not to protect themselves frankly should THX still not deliver. VAL may be that stupid and naïve as to totally rely on THX delivering but frankly, THX have not delivered at any point over the last few years and there are no guarantees here.
So, forgive me for not joining the ramping party here, too many spinning plates, far too much ramping and little discussion/ consideration of the bigger picture.
Pork's