Member Info for Porky9

Stop making assumptions to support your short positions or whatever
Jeeze, i own more than one bloody stock, its not mutually exclusive to invest here.
There is only so much you can talk about whilst waiting for an update
GL

@Wolfie
Oh go on, I think you should go for it, see if they chuck you out of the booster que for not having your mask on, what are you like. Power to the people and all that :)

Couldn’t care much frankly for new DHSC contracts, just see it now as a nice to have IF any additions come as long as they pay promptly. I’m just absolutely delighted they are aggressively chasing the US Markets and overseas territories and no longer reliant on DHSC

Anyhow, we have machines In situ in many NHS hospitals and they can sell directly under the framework deal signed so sales there will continue to be strong without any further official contracts added.

Stateside is shortly going to need increasing levels of support imo the way this next wave is moving and that really fills me with confidence for Novacyts forward revenues.

On a further positive note, now that Bethel is gone from DHSC, might actually see DHSC doing something for once. I still see them chasing Chinese cheap cr@ppy LFTs but that’s all low margin stuff anyway, PCR is what they are Gold Standard in and world class bioinformatics, more larger contracts in that direction stateside or other is what we want to see now.

Looking good

SP Now in BREAK OUT
Brilliant - £3.18 Broken
Lets the Bulls Run...
Good Luck All Strap IN....

Need to break out of £3.17 and then the technical traders start buying in.
Clear run to MA 200 at £4.08
Bullish

See how the afternoon session goes, On France Bourse we are currently now up on the previous close but slightly down on the open.

GLA

Germany announces record number of infections and deaths:-
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2021/11/25/covid-latest-news-coronavirus-covid-19-deaths-lockdown-vaccine/

"Germany has announced record daily coronavirus fatalities and infections as its total death toll passed 100,000 on Thursday, with its most severe virus wave yet swelling just as a new government prepares to replace Angela Merkel's coalition. Germany weathered earlier bouts of the pandemic better than many other European countries, but has seen a recent resurgence, with intensive care beds rapidly filling up."

Meanwhile:-

* EU set to propose 'nine-month expiry date' on Covid vaccine passports for travel
* Europe must consider mandatory Covid-19 vaccinations, says WHO official
* The European countries racing to vaccinate amid rising Covid cases and lockdowns
* Angela Merkel's attempt to reintroduce German lockdown thwarted by coalition

Interesting to also see what happens in France this afternoon, will they get tougher restrictions????

Tells us all we need to know really about the outlook
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/world-59398909

Not trying to put a dampener on things but Covid is NOT going away anytime soon, it continues to mutate and we all know we just have to learn to live with it, vaccinate as many as possible and the vaccines will need constant modification and the only way that can happen is from testing and mapping. so that we can stay ahead. It's that simple.

Testing is here to stay as i see it.

Having been active and read this board daily for eighteen months its crystal clear to me that there is a small group of traders on here that really like to try and keep this stock in a tight trading range by talking it up or down and selling into small gains.

I suspect my buys yesterday p@ssed a few off that had sold prior to it expecting to buy back cheaper and repeat the cycle but got caught out.

Well, I have news for you, the game is up for now.

Market conditions are such that Novacyt can’t fail to score orders and likely some significant ones, the expected sales fall off isn’t going to happen to the degree they forecast due to this and likewise the 100m forecast sales will likely come in materially higher as a result.

You take your chances with any stock and Risk Reward ratio is specifically relevant when buying penny shares. As I see it the ratio is good buying at this level and that’s why I’m in here.

I hope the shares do indeed go into a sustained rally and the share price soon reflects a materially higher and more realistic valuation. If I can help that along I’m going to do so.

GLA genuine holders, anyone short or trying to remain negative to buy in cheaper can burn in hell as far as I’m concerned

Pork’s

More than likely they will have an assay out to detect the new variant, one thing you cant fault NCYT for is its R&D strength

The World Health Organisation TODAY says all countries remain vulnerable to intense transmission of COVID-19. WHO Head Dr Tedros Ghebreyesus, who briefed the media in Geneva on Wednesday, says, “We are not out of the woods yet when it comes to the COVID-19 pandemic.”
https://www.sabcnews.com/sabcnews/who-says-all-countries-remain-vulnerable-to-intense-transmission-of-covid-19/

"This comes as several countries have experienced a surge of new infections in Europe, while some countries are battling a shortage of vaccines. Most countries have loosened restrictions and WHO says pre-pandemic social gatherings have resurfaced, threatening the fight against the coronavirus."

Sounds like unfortunately its going to be a rocky ride, clearly testing can only continue to be in high demand with the world situation remaining as challenging as it is with no immediate signs of it easing.

LOL
Reposting the link to Zac Mir with a tiny URL:-
https://tinyurl.com/jjjp3mf5

Forgot the algorithm doesn't like certain word combinations for some reason :)

For those not familiar with Zac Mir, like myself he is a bit of a marmite character. Personally i do really rate the guy, He views stocks from a purely technical perspective.

His Traders Cafe Bulletin Heroes report out on Sunday found here:-
https://www.**********.co.uk/articles/traders-cafe-with-zak-mir-bulletin-board-heroes-november-21-f6d145c

Effectively confirms that the break of £3.17 should see us move rapidly towards £5.00 from a technical perspective.
To quote:
"Trouble in the EU with people being forced to take the vaccine, rather suggests that Governments know that Covid is here to stay and we are all potentially in deep trouble, the shares suggest that a break of £3.17 recently tested, will see us move to £5.00 which is towards the top of that broadening triangle formed back in May"

I believe we have more than a fighting chance of that happening, which at £5 represents what, share price £3.14 at close tonight, a short term upside of + 60%. Not to be sniffed at. Of course won't put everyone back to where we need to be but its a start a move in the right direction.

GLA

@1,butchers.bike
We have to assume that the old DHSC issue affecting the 2020 trading period will still take some time to complete however, the provisions are all in the accounts, it could prove to be a welcome bonus when it settles. In the meantime, we are rebuilding from here. £100m Revenue forecast for the current year to end of December, I'm comfortable with that are you?

It's like investing from the ground floor up buying shares at this level especially now we can be fairly confident that the previous estimated revenue fall offs from covid test sales of 50%pa are now not at all likely to be anywhere near that bad due to a) the continuing issues with covid across the world and b) what now looks like a fifth wave of the virus which will certainly result in more sales not less. We can certainly see a materially higher share price from here that's for sure.

@WBAFC @Covidopportunist
For what its worth, my trades are all 100% genuine but it matters not. It really doesn't. We are here to discuss NCYT not individuals. IF it means so much to you both please follow me on twitter and i will DM exchange with you both directly and prove the transactions. Taking the board off topic is what ****es off other users, posters don't like it, i refuse to go there. No more personal threads please.

@crl123
I know you also see the activity on L2 so would value your thoughts?
Now yesterday i was of the opinion that Steven had completed his sale as his TR1 was issued and i thought the Auto sells were just either shorter's or other funds adjusting.

However, now im not so sure, the auto selling has just been bloody relentless, the MMs are playing us for bloody mugs here.
They switch off the auto selling for a short while, by short while i mean 10 or 20 mins, retail start buying and then they sell back into it taking the price back down. I have introduced contacts to this stock and the moment they buy its taken out. At one point i thought this is great, buying is nice and steady, no auto sells, price climbing maybe that's its now, then whack, they hit it with bigger sized auto sell. Or they play us with say 10 auto buys of nominal amounts say up two hundred quid and then stuff an auto sell at the end for 3800. Its that sort of thing.

By a VERY rough calculation i worked out that the last two sales materialised by Steven were about £1.4m. Since the last sell off on the 19th Nov that was last friday, we have had three full trading days. i worked out today that roughly 250k was auto sold in drip feeds, same monday and same tuesday, so if we follow that logic through, will we see another T1 on Friday with another reduction of about the same that has been drip fed in over the week?

We need an update here but im wondering now if Steven knows the update will be very late December or delayed until Q1 and that's why he is selling. If it isnt him selling then its shorts doing it but whichever way i cut this, until those auto sells stop not sure what we can do?

Are you on the same page as me or have a different view?

That's a real concern
Already in three countries, it's absolutely essential we test new arrivals to the UK correctly, if that variant arrives here the consequences, well doesn't bear thinking about...

Wouldn't surprise me if they already have the sequences mapped for this strain.

I recall they were up to about 2.5m sequences mapped three four months ago, got to be higher now and most likely already picked up that's why we are hearing about it;

Another reason why it should be PCR only at border control. Why they keep doing the same things and expecting a different outcome is beyond me, it will likely be another variant to hit is..

Just great..

Breaking out very nice...
Good chance of a run to the 420 line, very bullish....

@PhilGekko
Trust you are well. I totally agree with you. I also get miffed with individuals trying to second guess your own trading styles or advising you on what you should do, or in my case that I'm somehow desperate because i try and stimulate discussion on this otherwise dull and low posting numbers stock board.

For what its worth, I have emailed Investor relations, when they do reply its just the canned answer that they are still in line with the timelines specified on the website but like you i agree we need the data updates promised. If i get any different reply will update here.

The Auto sells now are just a pain in the arse, its putting off retail investors, maybe that's the objective? If its Steven then he is killing his own investment but i just don't think he would be that bloody stupid with so much news due.

I'm kind of on the page that its hedge funds and shorter's trying to milk this for all its worth due to the lack of news, if so it will need buying back. Updates would put paid to this that's what's so frustrating here but it certainly looks like 4D are not yet in a position to update us

Sooner we get those updates the better frankly...

GLA

We already discussed the situation with Steven in this thread in detail.

I genuinely don't think that Steven is still selling. The TR1 was issued on completion of the 1.4m sell which was similar to the last time and puts him back to roughly where he was in the March. You don't come this far supporting advances in the LBP field to give up now.

What we have currently been seeing are hedge funds, shorters and other pond life vultures Auto selling into the book as the price rises to a support their short position to make more profit and b scare more retail into selling to support the same objective especially those nervous about news delays.

If you look closely you notice its mainly Auto sells at the 65p level. Retail Investors are not selling, those that want out are already out and the SP has been milked down that far that there is little left. We are at massive reduction to the placing rate and an mcap down at £115m.

As such imo we are in for one mother of a bounce on news if not just on technical's being reached as ALL of these positions need to be brought back and its about to happen,

GLA

NASDAQ closed +4.27% to the Closing Bell and then just over an hour after increased another +3.66% in after hours trading.
We are at that technical point now where traders think do I move now or can I get another 2p off?
Major Bounce Inbound
https://mobile.twitter.com/Porky9Here/status/1463393049548140544

You know its close when pond life like @Stayshort show up to tell us to sell up to save ourselves from impending doom.

4D have proven there are improvements in health of asthma, cancer and IBS patients and they are in discussions with the regulators, targeting the gut-brain axis, etc Isn't that something to give confidence that 4D going in right direction?

Updates to Land include:-
•MRx0518 + Keytruda® PI/II Part B Data
•MRx-4DP0004: PI/II Asthma prelim Data
•MRx0518: PI Pancreatic Cancer prelim Data
•MRx0518: Commence Bavencio® combo Study
•Blautix®: Update
•Parkinson’s: First-in-human study in patients Update
https://mobile.twitter.com/Loop_marvel/status/1463162870447972359

Still confident of Bull run to £1.80, the naysayers, shorters and spread betters can do what they bloody like, its a matter of when NOT if and sooner the updates start rolling the better.

GLA Genuine holders