RE: 25% drop13 Apr 2024 12:25
It’s not putting words in your mouth, it’s what you’ve said!
Like it or not Zengas, Longboat Energy has been nothing but a failure so far. The share price has dropped from £1 to 16p which should tell you everything you need to know but for the benefit of others I shall provide the history.
Longboat launched with the objective of securing production assets in Norway (predominantly gas). When the pandemic hit and energy prices dropped significantly they tried to negotiate too hard and subsequently lost out on doing a deal when commodity prices were at historic lows (no foresight).
After the pandemic energy prices spiked which meant the Longboat management were definitely now unwilling to pay the market prices for production assets. They ended up instead getting desperate and securing a portfolio of exploration prospects, boasting at the time that Norway had a 50% success rate at exploration and these prospects were carefully chosen by their expert technical team. Well that technical team turned out to be utterly useless - out of 10 prospects (Rodhette, Egyptian Vulture, Mugnetind, Ginny, Hermine, Cambozola, Copernicus, Oswig, Velocette & Kveikje), only one of them found commercial hydrocarbons. Their technical team would have had better success throwing darts at a wall - 10% success compared to an industry average of 50%. The only successful well had an over 50% CoS as well!
Having wasted all their money on a failed exploration programme it’s no wonder several of their institutional investors wanted out and weren’t prepared to back them further.
They were between a rock and a hard place but thankfully managed to do a deal with JAPEX and they have now secured a small production deal but even that has had cost overruns that would have been disastrous had JAPEX not come on board.
Now I’m not saying they can’t go on to be successful, and I’m hopeful that they can. But don’t kid yourself or others, it’s been a total disaster thus far.
You can disagree all you like but the market agrees with me, hence a share price of 16p despite the Kveikje discovery & nearby license area, the JAPEX deal and the Malaysian exploration prospects. Sentiment is in the toilet and for good reason.