RE: 'five out of five'9 Jan 2023 09:07
Olderandwiser,
DUKE's royalty investments are secured on the underlying assets, so as long as their due diligence is good, then the loans are fairly safe "in the event of a corporate failure". From the last set of accounts:
"The Group also has security in respect of the royalty investments which can be called upon if the counterparty is in
default under the terms of the agreement."
There are also some loan investment, but they represent a marginal amount [less than 3% of the NAV]. 2 points worth noting:
1 - as the company grows, its fixed costs remain relatively constant, so they are leveraging the cost base as they grow. Operating costs are forecast to drop from 27% of revenue in Q1 2021 to 10% in Q2 2023.
2 - there has only been one failure that I can think of... A river boat cruise company in Germany around the beginning of Covid and thanks to security over the boats [which were sold] they ended up with a loss of around 3% of the investment.
But, as a growing company, there is always a risk of more capital calls; the new credit facility recently announced gives more headroom but quite a lot has been committed to potential follow-on investments in existing partners. My 'back of a *** packet' calculation is there is about £20m to be invested before more money will be required [potentially from a placing] if / when opportunities arise.
It should also be noted that Royalty Partners can buy themselves out of their agreements with DUKE, so fresh capital can potentially come from a commercial divorce.