House of cards?3 Jan 2023 14:00
From Bloomberg's Supply Lines email today - like PMI variations, this is a leading indicator and it looks very bad:
"House of cards | Mills that churn out cardboard are slashing production worldwide, a worrying sign that global trade is slowing down. North American companies that make the raw material for corrugated boxes shut down nearly 1 million tons of capacity in the third quarter and a similar scenario is expected for the fourth quarter, Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Ryan Fox said. Prices are falling for the first time since 2020. Investors are watching closely for any harbingers of what is to come as fears mount that many of the world’s biggest economies will tip into recession next year. Paper boxes are present at nearly every step of a good’s journey through the supply chain, which makes paper a key indicator of how economies are faring. The signals are not encouraging."
Smith (DS) (SMDS) up 1/3 in 3 months - I would be selling.