RE: Global slumps...4 Oct 2023 19:21
I agree Metom, but I’d say it’s more about the fear of rise of oil rather than the actual oil value.
Last year, I had a big argument on here with CW and Convb (is that his/her username?) as I suggested oil would fall running up to Xmas 2022 due to the Arab input. Not one for saying “I told you so”, but the obvious happened, and I was proved correct (it really isn’t brain surgery to make this predictions).
Brent crude is currently $86 ish which is about the same it was last year. It’s not the price, it’s the increase in a short time scale that serious investors fear. Like the ilk of Badlands (No hate dude) suggesting a 10% reduction in RR recently is more important news than the rise from Sept 28th price of 66p to the 210p it is today.
If I told you last year to put your house, wife, kids, dogs (not cats) on the line at 66p, knowing we’d get 210p in a years time, you have bitten my hand off and shared the profits (hopefully).
In answer to your question, I’m really interested in Burry’s sell (buy back of puts) as we all should be.
He deletes all his tweets as soon as he posts them (to avoid bot damage).
RR will only go down with wide market value (those invested in RR via bonds etc).
… and I’ll stop there as I’m ruining my next blog update news 👍