The future is bleak1 Dec 2015 10:01
Matters are hanging by a thread. As I understand the RNS,even if 6.5 M is raised, ZOX cannot move to making zinc oxide - which is much more profitable, until it has paid off the loans to Korea Zinc. Until then it has to supply zinc concentrate to KZ only. Even if the loans are paid, the kit required to make industrial grade zinc oxide, will cost 20 M and will take 18 months to get up and running. Until then we are tied to KZ at a presently uneconomic zinc price. I cannot see ZOX surviving that long. I fear my investment is a wipeout.
[relevent RNS below.]
The Directors estimate that a plant capable of upgrading 50% of KRP's zinc concentrate would cost about US$20 million and take one year to develop following six months pre-development work. The upgrading operation could, on certain assumptions* generate an additional US$11.7 million of EBITDA (zinc price of US$1,600 per tonne) per annum at plant level and reduce the break-even zinc price of the combined operations to about US$1,300 per tonne. The upgrading potential announced today could, therefore, have a significant medium term impact on the prospects for the Company.
*assumptions include
1. 50% of the HZO is upgraded to commercial grade zinc oxide (IZO)(80% zinc contained).
2. Throughput at KRP of 200,000 tonnes of EAFD per annum and a recovery of 94%.
3. IZO will sell, net of operating costs at a premium of about 50% to the current off-take arrangements.
4. Lead and silver by product revenues of USD 1.7million, assuming a lead price of USD 1,440 / Tonne and Silver of USD 14 /Oz.