RE: Killing any rise14 Oct 2021 18:34
I disagree with people saying it will take years now but before anyone jumps down my neck I agree that CDX will take probably a year before it gets to clinical trials. HOWEVER CAR-T they have already lined up 2 companies according to the last update and are pretty damn close to IND application and clinical studies. Then there is CBR which to date we know nothing about, could be big. People are right to call out that CDX is still a bit off clinical trials but Hemo is not a one trick zebra.
Then there is the cold hard fact, Hemo are sitting at £20m. They have £10m in cash and have just acquired IP from Eli Lilly, multiple patents and patent applications fired and pre-existing licencing entitlements from other Pharma. We can argue about how much all that is worth but I doubt very much anyone on here thinks its only worth £10m.
I have been saying for a long time(and getting alot of abuse for it) it feels like this share has been under attack for months, I dont really care what the reason it just really peeves me off. I will post my wildest theories for entertainment value:
1, After the placing we got a new MM, Marex, they came in with no shares but sold plenty, they borrowed millions and have basically been shorting ever since. Reason why they have not let the SP go? They expected the SP to hit 1.5p and needed it too to make the profits they were after, it never got close so they will keep taking the pee until they make what they want.
2, In 12 days the 52 week high drops from 12pps to 9.65p I think. Its currently 88m to buy Hemo outright incl all the IP, thats 30% at 2p and 70% at 9.65. In 12 days it costs 72m to buy them outright because of the new 52w high. Whoever it is has only to suppress the SP for 12 more days to save £16mil. Do a chop shop on hemo, sell off CDX and CAR-T for bargain basement profits and pocket a massive profit.
3, Nobody from the placing at 1.5p filed a TR1 but then again clearly some of them dumped so perhaps they are just totally dishonest and didnt dump as many up front as we suspect, held more than 3% and have just never declared? And they really are just dumping on any and all volume from the placing to now for any price above 2p just to clear them.
Thats my 3 most extreme theories, perhaps I am right, perhaps not. Its also possible that investors are just so scarred and burned from some bad management over the past year and failure to deliver that they had always decided they were going to sell on the CDX deal irrespective of the SP and with a complete lack of volume in the market there was no new blood there to buy up the slack.
Enjoy my ramblings, have a nice evening and remember, as you slide down the banister of life may the splinters never point the wrong way.