RE: Just sold some10 May 2023 11:32
Something funny is happening, it is posting my comments without me pressing post message.
Start again...skimmed over the release put out. My initial view is POLY had to report progress and theyve said they will redom to Kaz. Theyve also said it will go to the vote and recommend we approve.
Poly had to report progress and it is clear very little progress have been made on issue of redom. I am still of the opinion the redom process is go slow and could be abandoned at a moment notice should events take turn for the better. Of concern to the board and Mr Nesis would be the forthcoming 11th round of sanctions by EU which focuses on companies/parties trying to go around sanctions using third parties/countries. Im of the opinion POLY would like the vote to happen asap, get the company redom ready as much as possible and wait until the last moment until it becomes impossible to maintain London listing, hoping good news shows up on the war front in the meantime. The vote will ask shareholders to provide authority to the board to redom, but not order it to do so. I think that is a prudent thing to do and yes they have kicked the can down the road as far as Im concerned.
Should the conflict persist and redom does actually happen, that is not bad news for likes of me who are in it for the long term. It opens up more opportunities in Russia should it feel the need to expand, or even sell assets and move out completely if necessary...keeping shareholder value intact. In the first instance, it will restart divis which will be huge in compariosn to the sp.
As far as trading goes, it is more or less in line and debt remaining flat should not be an issue. Two thirds is US$ denominated which imo will fall over coming months as rates in US have peaked, which will lead to debt falling in real terms.
Absolute worst case scenario doesnt change in that business in Kaz alone is worth over £7 a share. You cannot legislate against panic setting in, and as far as Im concerned that is all it is and no more.