RE: AI update on KZG12 Mar 2026 09:56
1. Current production (Walviskop project)
Kazera’s existing heavy mineral sands mine at Walviskop is already operating through its subsidiary Whale Head Minerals.
Current operational indicators:
• Production expected to exceed 4,000 tonnes of heavy mineral sands per month after expansion. 
• Processing upgrades are underway to improve product quality (about 32% TiO₂ content). 
That implies roughly:
• ≈48,000 tonnes per year at current production levels.
The Walviskop deposit itself contains millions of tonnes of heavy mineral sands resources, with natural replenishment from coastal wave action. 
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2. Why Perdevlei is the real catalyst
The nearby Perdevlei concession is significantly larger.
Key facts:
• Licence area: ≈3,095 hectares
• Immediate mining area: ≈170 hectares of high-grade heavy mineral sands. 
• The area is about 34× larger than the current Walviskop project. 
That scale difference is why investors see Perdevlei as the main growth project, not Walviskop.
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3. Possible production scenario (rough estimates)
The company hasn’t published a full feasibility study for Perdevlei yet, but based on similar HMS beach mining operations:
Conservative scenario
• 6,000 tonnes/month
• ≈ 72,000 tonnes/year
Moderate scenario
• 10,000–15,000 tonnes/month
• ≈ 120,000–180,000 tonnes/year
Aggressive scenario (multi-pit mining)
• 20,000+ tonnes/month
• >240,000 tonnes/year
Because the area is much larger, multiple mining areas could run simultaneously.
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4. Revenue potential (very rough)
Heavy mineral sands prices vary widely depending on composition (ilmenite, zircon, rutile, garnet).
Typical blended HMS concentrate prices:
Here are three realistic share-price scenarios for Kazera Global plc (AIM: KZG) if the Perdevlei mining right is granted. These are illustrative investor scenarios, not predictions, but they reflect how junior mining stocks often react to licence approvals.
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1️⃣ Conservative scenario (small re-rating)
What happens
• Mining right granted
• Market still cautious about financing and production ramp-up
• Slow operational progress
Typical market reaction for AIM junior miners
Metric
Today
After licence
Market cap
~£12–14M
£25–30M
Share price effect
~2×
modest rally
Moderate scenario (strong growth story)
What happens
• Licence granted
• Production expansion begins
• Investors price in future cashflow from Perdevlei
Metric
Today
After licence
Market cap
~£12–14M
£50–80M
Share price could rise roughly 4–6× if:
• production scaling is credible
• revenue increases become visible
• market sentiment toward mineral sands is strong
Bull case (major AIM re-rating)
This happens if several positive factors occur together:
• Mining right granted quickly
• Rapid production ramp-up
• Strong mineral sands prices
• Institutional investors notice the story
Metric
Value
Market cap
£12