RE: bloody shorters12 Aug 2021 16:36
As ant says: time/patience.
There wasn't an awful lot of "new" information.
Financials were confirmed, on/slightly better than expected by most.
Debt - no major change (this works for both those seeing it long and for those seeing it as a short as both sides have their view on the debt).
Studios and Theatrical window - we got this back in March and all we got today was further confirmation/slight firming up that we will be reverting to a theatrical window with all studios. A shorter window than pre-pandemic, but one that works for all parties. (No further deals actually signed and confirmed so as we were March).
Attendances as per Box Office Mojo and AMC indicators pretty much. Improving (longs happy), not yet enough to profit or even breakeven (shorts happy).
Liquidity no major change from start year, with assistance of Cares payment and small increase in debt. (Longs and shorts can see something in this to make happy).
Consessions up as seen through market (too early to say if this is a lasting new trend, but hopefully something even if less than initially for longs).
Landlord defferals/renegotiated rates etc - short/medium term helps cashflow, still backdated payments to eventually be paid (again something for longs and shorts)
Covid looking like it's moving into background, but just a little early yet to say with 100% certainty (hope for both sides still, though on balance probably moving towards longs)
Ongoing cost savings by doing job in last 18 months business should have always been doing i.e. line by line maximise value in the p&l. (Good for longs, shorts may still hope it's not enough. Still unknown as per CFO. Wide range $10 - $200 stating it will be more than 10, but less than 200/annum).
Hope to be cashflow positive end September (good for longs, currently not yet so shorts still happy also)
All options being looked at for improving liquidity and shareholder value - again we had this in March, just happened to mention one possibility i.e. US listing.
Still looking at 2022/2023 to get to being the business we longs want, Q4 this year, or last 4 months should see the next step towards it but it's still to happen. Theory v actual (still hope for both longs and shorts). As per March again really.
Loss of some market share is a little disappointing, but with our different closing and re opening strategy to be expected. Mooky seems confident of not only regaining these 'lost' customers, but going on to take more in time.
New York (Manhattan) is currently disappointing, but again given time expects to come good.
Sure you get the general idea, interpretation by either side still there. Some things getting closer.
* One thing we have previously discussed as has Mooky at March update was (I think not mentioned at all, or very little and wasn't asked by any of those that called in)
That is the Cineplex case, so I am hoping that all are now reasonably confident no matter the outcome it will be of little impact!?