Profitable company2 Jun 2025 15:24
Im mostly retired but delivering this large contract on time deserves from thoughts.
Tech sales have been poor for a few years but if we double to revs from 6months to Dec 24 (£3.7mill) to get a full year approx of £7.4mill, this circa £4.1mill contract bring them up to about £11.5mill in revs. With relatively fixed costs, the company has swung profitable overnight, probably to the tune of £1mill or so. From a lifetime of loss making this is finally something to be celebrate.
As they are now profitable, all fixed costs covered etc, the excellent gearing comes into play. Additional MSCs at 50%+ margin sees the profits drop straight to the bottom line.
If they go back into Tema at roughly the same $/TEU as previously, the increase in traffic at Tema would mean revs of £2mill+ and profits of £1-1.5mill. There aren't a lot of overheads as MPS pay for the scanners, electric etc etc, we just have limited manpower to pay for. So Tema would bring profits up to £2-2.5mill as a ball park.
DRC is worth £4mill in profits (£8mill/$10mill contract at 50% margins, maybe more now one of the other airports is dropped for the moment)
Malawi is of a similar quantum to Gabon so looking at a further £2mill in revs
Not beyond the realms of fiction to see all these contracts land and start this year now they've shown they have the secret sauce and know-how to start on time post DRC debacle.
This could give up to £8-9mill in profit a year, materially below our current mcap. That is the investment rationale
Even just adding Tema means the company is hugely undervalued on economics and potential future growth.
Not to forget that Tema is growing and expanding enormously as is all of african aviation. Every year the contracts will grow in revenue but fixed costs remain or increase with inflation, so margins increase.
Exciting times and a lot to look forward to. I'll see you all on the next contract RNS. Odds on Tema