Member Info for chilting

For anyone who hasn't been following OCDO -

The last short squeeze in November 2022 brought the SP up from around the current level to about 950p.

The shorts were at 4.75% before that event - they are over 6% today.

It will be interesting to see how the shorts react - four of the ten are now underwater.

Will the loss makers cash out???

Will those still well in profit cash out???

A short squeeze is very likely.

Onwards and upwards.

Momentum just keeps on building with Whitbread picking up the pieces of the budget hotel sector in the UK and Germany that was ravaged by Covid.

The logical thing now would certainly be to sell the stand alone restaurants to a reliable player like M&B.

Also the macro is holding the SP back.

Inflation still high with another UK Interest Rate hike to come - all bad news for UK retailers.

But we are starting to see some signs of recovery.

The combination of lack of imminent news and investor patience is certainly toxic - the AGM should be a lively affair.

Lets hope that adversity brings out the best in DP and his team - time for a fight back I think, or they risk loosing respect.

If we are to see hydrogen powered vehicles regularly on our roads Weichai will be the innovators.

Their trials with HGV's long distance and within a port clearly indicate that commercially produced hydrogen engines for buses and HGV's will very soon be available.

My prediction is that we will start to see a transition from diesel to hydrogen within the next ten years for vans, lorries and buses in much the same way as we have seen the transition from petrol to electric cars.

However, I don't see a wingspread adoption of hydrogen for cars because of the extra costs, other than maybe top end cars. I think the price of electric cars will fall dramatically as new manufacturers emerge.

Yes, all very positive re the merger but delays at the US Courts could possibly drag out the process for another two years.

Kroger will want to target areas of the US where they have few or no stores, this may not be possible with the court case ongoing, if Albertsons also trade in those areas - remember the Court case is all about competition and local monopolies.

What we really need to see is Kroger's future expansion plans for their home shopping business, but that is problematic for them at the moment with the Albertsons merger ongoing.

Hopefully though we will get some announcement for extra CFC's before the end of the year - this would off course make a massive difference to the SP.

Latest on the merger from yesterday

https://www.winsightgrocerybusiness.com/kroger/kroger-ceo-albertsons-merger-planning-has-progressed-nicely

Headline shorts down from ten to nine.

Four of the nine are well under water - if the SP continues to rise they face heavily losses.

The other five are still well in profit - the SP needs to rise to nearly 500p before they are at risk of losses.

Some of them probably have long positions as well, as a hedge.

Apparently big pharma is out to spend some of its cash mountain on acquisitions.

I guess Tissue Regenix could be an easy bolt on as a stand alone division for any big pharma company?

https://www.sharesmagazine.co.uk/article/biotech-companies-in-demand-as-pharmaceutical-companies-spend-billions-on-takeovers

Delayed news creates uncertainty and depresses the SP - its as simple as that.

One point to remember -

Bosch and Weichai won't just be manufacturing Ceres fuel cells to sell to others, they will be using them themselves in a myriad of products throughout their extensive global business empires - essential nuts and bolts for the future.

Yes, the SP certainly has been pushed back by Eqtec's poor control of news flow and their perceived inability to finish a project.

However, looking at the fundamentals here, it is worthy of a punt investment, especially because the SP is so low and it could easily become a takeover target for the tech alone.

There is no great conspiracy here, its simply a fact that news flow is exceedingly slow from EQT.

News from Italy was expected imminently at the beginning of May - I guess that means within 3 months.

As an investor you just have to accept that some companies do things differently and be patient.

We are seeing improvement here and the long term is good, but the time scale is totally unpredictable.

Just trickle a bit of cash in from time to time - when the SP is at a low ebb [like now] - to build up a low cost punt.

1863

Are you having a bubble bath - laugh!

A monkey is £500 around the East End.

Weichai Power is actually just part of a much larger Chinese state company - Shandong Heavy Industry Group.

Shandong controls many more Chinese companies plus has controlling interests on many well know International Companies - these include -

Ferretti in Italy

KION Group and Linde Hydraulics in Germany

Dematic and PSI in the United States

Baudouin in France

Ballard in Canada

http://www.shig.com.cn/en/about-1.html

M&S was founded in 1884 and has been a leading UK retailer for most of that time.

Today though we are seeing a very different M&S.

The Old Lady of the High Street has reinvented itself and is moving forward fast with confidence and self assurance.

The future is bright here, the FTSE100 beckons - its a great long term investment.

Latest OMFG!!!!!! News

I hear that Ocado Robots are using their Generative AI skills to bury dissident Hatfield staff deep in the hive for later consumption!!!!!

The problem with evaluating a shares performance on AIM generally has little to do with the companies finances.

I think its true to say that most companies are undervalued on AIM.

This is directly related to their reason for listing - they are simply here to raise equity when needed.

Looking at the all time numbers for AIM and FTSE250 - since October 1996 - the FTSE250 index increased in value by 332.69% and the AIM index fell by -20.43%.

The volatility continues but on the upside now.

There are 10 small open short positions with a start prices ranging from 343p to 527p - total 6.58%.

Clearly if one of the shorts in at a higher price decides to close it squeezes the ones that are underwater and close to going underwater to close resulting in a sharp rise in the SP.

All games!

Nice start.