Member Info for B777CAPTAIN

I think that AK57 has a 50% chance to be right. About 50% of the quarterly reports are a damp squib. But the fear in the market over the last couple of weeks has been palpable. It makes me think that we're in for something big on Thursday.

Robbren

No. Boom or bust is wrong. Whatever happens on Thursday Wizz will boom in the coming years. And the potential upside on Thursday is ,IMHO, double the potential downside. I would say that a close of £8 or a close of £14 are both within the realms of possibility.

My expectation is that it'll move much higher on in a powerful relief rally.

Robbren

I'm saying what I'm thinking right now. In the last few weeks there's been so much fear built up and that will either be realised or it'll be dissipated.

Either way it's going to be a storm.

I'll be working at 8am on Thursday, so won't know anything until about 10.

Robbren and Dber

In the past from what I've seen, the day prior to results has always been pretty calm. The storm will really kick off a 8am on Thursday.

And I think that this could be the biggest storm that we've seen in Wizz memory.

Sorry! I didn't mean F26 or F27 but F28 onwards.

Robbren

I think that a lot of disappointment is priced in. The stock is oversold. I have no idea what will happen on Thursday but I'm expecting £14 by Christmas.

This company can make £700m easily. And £14 is roughly a PE of only 2.

That's what I'm getting worried about Robbren. It's looking like I'll just have to jump in and buy tomorrow if it doesn't just give me a quick run below £10.

Robbren

100k is way more than I'll be investing. No more comment on that.

You guys are going to think that I'm Judas but I've put a rather large buy order in (by my standards) for £9.98. And I won't take my own advice of waiting until after the earnings.

I just think that there's so much more upside potential than down and I want one tranch below £10.

Yeslam

Journalists are useless. I'd much prefer reading what you have to say.

I remember 9/11 when CNN were saying that a radio navigation beacon was faulty causing Aircraft to crash into buildings.

Lee

I'm in the same boat as you. I can't speak to you with any financial trading knowledge, other than to say that my experience of discussing trading with colleagues suggest that the vast majority of short term traders lose money.

I've been watching the Airline industry all of my life. Airline stocks are volatile over time and by high multiples. IAG recently quadrupled. EZJ went up 9 fold in 4 years from 2009 to 2013.

Wizz air have the correct business model and will be very successful. I honestly have no sleepless nights over my paper losses.

Wizz have probably made a net profit of €800m in the last 2.5 years. Institutional investors are only concerned that they'll lose money over the next 6 months. There's nothing more to it than that.

GaryDav

That's exactly what I think.

Even the competitor is saying that there is such insufficient capacity that profits will rise 40% per seat.

How can a 250 Aircraft (best in class) Airline sit at a Market Cap. Of only £1B?

Ok. If John bought then he's smarter than his posts suggest. That's definitely a buy signal.

Well done Yeslam. You're very smart. Hats off to you.

I was so shocked that I wrote we're instead of were.

John

We're you optimistic???

I wonder how many people are in the same shoes as me. I bought a lot right before June 4th (F25 earnings). Obviously I was burned. Now I'm waiting until after this earnings report to buy. I'll buy whichever way it goes but I want that report in front of me before I do it.

It'll be nice to see some new faces on this forum. People quoting their average price as below £10.

Mine between £18 and £19. Still expecting to get it down to below £17 for Q1 27.

GaryDav

Yes I believe so.

Does anyone have a good link for the earnings call?

GaryDav

It is probably Rose tinted to say €3m/operating Aircraft for F28 because we'll still be introducing a lot of new A321-NEO's and returning CEO's, this is costly but at some point between F28 and F30 we should be making the €3m. RYR with their trash (400×B737-800's)are making around €4m.

Another way to look at it, is Ryanair Currently make €10 per passenger, they expect that to go up to €14 due to insufficient capacity in Europe.