RE: WAKE TF UP12 Nov 2024 18:03
@hamm
How do you define traders? I’m certainly not here for the long term but my circa 500k shares were bought in 2 trenches in September and I’ve not sold
any. When I do it’s unlikely I’ll be back but it’s another share I’ve now a decent ish understanding about so will keep an eye on it to take advantage of anything potential opportunities.
Anyway, surely tomorrow is the day for the RNS to finally land. That big late spike / buy gives some reason for confidence.
H1 INITIAL flows rates need to be circa 300bopd to be par. If more than that, I’ll be calling it positive, if below negative.
H2 needs to be confirmed as commercial to hit par. If it’s anything within a range of H1 I’ll regard it as a positive. If it’s not commercial it’s extremely negative. This is my single biggest worry bead / risk but the odds are with us.
I don’t regard it as likely it’ll be producing this year so would regard that as neutral if confirmed, although the market may disagree given it’s still a possibility and most Ultras here believe it’s definitely happening.
Deal with PC
Would be good to get confirmation it’s close - I very much doubt it’s been signed. With the Mongols for approval would be good and a positive to me. Any bigger news on a JV would of course be massively positive
Could potentially be left field bonus news in Gobi, new blocks and Renewables - I’ve not paid much attention to these so won’t offer a view.
Lots to play for - and no doubt then debate. Hence putting my cards on the table