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I want to know what the views from other investors are about this .
The SP of Novacyt ranged around £10-£8 between February 2021 to April 8th 2021. When the RNS was made at 12:30pm on 9th April 2021 the SP crashed to around £3.50 . It was the RNS informing the dispute with the DHSC . The SP has crippled steadily since then to 40p -70p due to this dispute . What I am eager to know is what compensation can Novacyt expect to get for this crippling of the SP by the DHSC . I know Novacyt are claiming for £81.8M + interest , but what about any claim against damage to company reputation and therefore SP. So if we base it on loss of market Capitalization, I would think Novacyt should be compensated by a further £350M-600M .
The sun is out and Dr Jekyll WBA has already downed a bottle Pimms by 11.45……..we have t even won court case yet…..what goes through that mad mind of yours……..still think you are something to do with 10PI100
Dinglewolf, the case is won . The evidence is overwhelming. If you have nothing nice to say about anyone or have any good constructive points on this BB, then what is your purpose apart from being a narcissistic personality !
I want Novacyt to get as much money from this debacle made by the DHSC and make money from my investment . I invested huge amounts of money in Novacyt on the basis that this company was going to develop into a mid cap company . I did a lot of research into Novacyt before investing and was shocked with what the DHSC have done. I strongly feel DHSC should pay compensation for the loss of market Capitalization status of the company.
Wbafc 'The case is won'
No it isn't. We all hope it will be soon.
I'll tell you what this poster thinks WBAFC... without sounding too horrible I think you are completely delusional. The case is NOT won but hopefully it will be. However even if it is Novacyt will never receive compensation of £350M-600m. I can't believe you really think this. Personally I was hoping for a rise in the S.P. after last weeks news and not a drop, fingers crossed for a better week from Tuesday onwards.
I'm not sure how much compensation we would be entitled to. The announcement of the dispute massively impacted the share price, but so did the decline in Covid and what seemed to be our lack of non-Covid products to sell. Or was it just that Governments had spent so much money fighting Covid that they didn't have much left to buy anything else.
If we win the case and if our sales portfolio with Yourgene products start to perform then the share price should logically go back up again. We wouldn't need compensation for that, if the value in the company was restored. I'm just thinking out loud. I have no real experience to speak from. I just watch and wait patiently (sometimes impatiently)!
WBAFC it would be very hard imo to claim on the SP crashing down !!
We know it was cause of dispute but proving that in a court of law is a diffrent matter imo
You are a tad excitable again today again it won't do your blood pressure any good
Calm down maybe take a sedative but do keep up your positivity
If we win we all be as happy as Larry Larry
There was always going to be a drop after it was clear this was going to court.For one it is weeks away and theres no guarantee we will win.Can see this going lower still.Good buying opp if you have faith
Wb...it is dangerous to think the case is won. I have always thought ncyt had a very strong case. There is one thing that slightly bothers me..but overall I am happy leaving my money in on the roulette red or black.
If you are relating spnto reputation...one could argue that the gov gave ncyt their reputation.
I would prob argue that the price around £2 was right for the time..bio interest saw it spike up.but the drop from there to 40p is all the company's own making.
Time lost with salad man and no coherent strategy on the non covid stuff.
Ygen has given a new lease of life..and I think LR was the best leader we could hope for
Quite honestly take the cash away and what would you value ncyt at? The old portfolio seems worthless judging by sales over last couple of years...ygen is interesting but it bankrupted itself.
If ncyt win as I still think they will...despite my slight worry...then you have a company with a load of cash in difficult times. However they still need to prove they can make a profit
'If you are relating spnto reputation...one could argue that the gov gave ncyt their reputation.'
FDA emergency use authorisation, WHO emergency listing, collaboration with University of Cambridge, GlaxoSmithKline and Astra Zeneca - this all came before the first government contract so this all gave NCYT more of a reputation than the (perhaps) panicked signing of a contract with the DHSC.
'Quite honestly take the cash away and what would you value ncyt at?'
That's a tricky one to answer. If you look at the cost of buying YG and consider the amount already sunk integrating the two companies then a debt free Novacyt could probably fetch around £25m-£30m if the cash was taken away. After the dispute £30m + cash is probably fair value but any sign that this new management team know what they are doing and that quickly doubles and some due to the opportunity that being cash rich will present in this market.
GDR is a good example of the difference cash makes. If they had been cashed up prior to their extremely positive news that NICE has recommended their test as a point of case first choice for pre ischemic stroke treatment they'd have seen rally back toward 12 months high of ~£20m valuation but because they are possibly just weeks away from running out of cash their sp has cratered instead. Cash is worth a hell of a lot more than the paper value for small caps right now.
As for a peer comparison for what reaching profitability could mean... EKF recently returned to profit after a loss making year last year - profit was £2.73m , market cap is now £135m so a 50X multiple.
You can start to see what simply reaching modest profitability would eventually mean here.
Harchris ...my comment was about wb seeming to say that ncyt reputation was a reflection of sp. From memory the sharp rise in sp was after the gov contract. So my conditional statement still holds
Interesting estimate on the valuation. I would need to see profit v expenses on ygen before I could agree. Without using the cash ncyt has... I am really not sure on tgat
I know nothing about ekr...that seems bonkers
Actually..just looking at charts.. There was a huge jump before gov contract. My bad.
Point taken
Yeah the first DHSC contract had little effect on the share price, it had already reached a local (intraday) peak of 530p a week or so before that deal landed.
There's no question that the second DHSC contract is what propelled ncyt to the all time high of 1200p though.