Member Info for wyndrum

oh Pl, you really are a miserable joyless piece of work.....You use to aggravate me and now I think you must be pretty lonely and bitter about something. To be so constantly snide and sarcastic and its only the way you dance on the thin line of not wanting to get banned that tones your remarks down to what they are now, as opposed to what you actually want to say. And to strangers, people you don't even know.
Pity, that's what I feel for about you now.

Last hour of trading could be fun!

as is boasting and bragging.....

well as secret messages go it was hardly up there with the Enigma code to crack!

But I think you are right and if you are then what did that mean? AVCT were not going to be the Sovereign Test?

Its just great news that Innova have been rumbled and just in the nick of time too. I think, hope, wish....

Actually we should salute the MM's for keeping the market orderly while they carry out this large sale.

Buyers have been given ample opportunity to get funds from elsewhere and still get in at a, hopefully, advantageous price.

"Good luck and well done to the longterm holders."

And yah boo sucks to the short term holders presumably?

SP, I think you are right I think the seller has got an instruction in to sell between 21p -21.5p At some stage it will end or we will all die of old age, but one way or the other it will end...….

or as was told to me by an old lag of a trader back in the day: "this stock is only going one way, and that's either up or down"....

How true that was then and still is now....

Absolute potential Game Changer! At last, some good actual news to get out teeth into.

See what I mean ? even though he has filtered me, he still feels the need to respond and suggest my posts are some how manipulative and take it back to a personal level. The fact that I will no longer be posting here and would not have done so today had Ray not asked a question), you would have thought it would have disproved his inaccurate conclusion and spurious claim.

Anyway, this is a perfectly fine BB and I promise this is it. I really don't want it side tracked every time I post something.
GLA

PP, don't deliberately be so disingenuous. People could post what ever they like and it would prove what? You could just not believe them and call them liars.

And its a bit rich coming from you, who never replies to a question, complaining people are not responding to your absurd post.

Remember you have posted continuously for years how many shares you bought and when claiming this fantastic vision and huge profit you currently sit on, but never explained when asked, given that Boo had fallen from 60p on IPO day to the 25p you bought in at on the back of missed targets and profit warnings on updates from Boo, that this was worth committing a £100k to because you saw, what exactly? Nothing helpful from the Bod at the time.

But as always, you will just ignore this as you do every time anybody ever wants a bit more clarity and explanation over your opinions.

What we know GM, is that AVCT have been talking to the govt for over a year with presumably intent to supply a test. I don't know whats happened re:PD. It seems now we are all agreed we failed to get the test through due to PD's procedures.

So my take is: Clearly quite a lot has gone on behind the scenes with BAMS Saliva, & PD. During this time the Govt has committed itself to Innova and at the same time the Vaccines came out and were better than hoped for and that has been clearly the (govt) focus ever since the turn of the year. I think testing (given the govt are ok with Innova), is no longer the priority it was, which makes sense from their pov.

I am not sure if free govt tests will finish in June, assuming it does, then that's the opportunity for AVCT to sell theirs in competition to Innova. I just think it will be in relatively reduced numbers if payment is required. I also think it could then be a price war and I also am skeptical (but happy to be proved wrong) that the public care quite as much as we do re the S&S numbers.

Where there is a big opportunity is international travel. Thats the one area I see quite a bright light shining, but again, it may well be price led. (Airlines, I don't think also care as much as we do on S&S. They may "have" to provide tests before people leave and return, but as long as they are negative I don't think they care any further than that. and they well do the minimum in terms of cost to comply with what's mandated on them).

But, and here's the thing, If we are supplying Innova with our tech going forward then we would need to be ready to do so. That also fits with AS's remarks about the recent delay not affecting orders and it stops us being in a price war with them and diluting the market with 2 companies providing tests.
But to access any UK market we needed the CE mark , so I don't think ever AVCT didn't want to supply the UK but circumstance has maybe, shifted the focus more internationally.

So for me thats the 2 options: we either will be teaming up with Innova (but where does that leave Mologic), or it it could be (relatively) disappointing UK sales but globally, could be very profitable.

My gut feel now is if this generates enough money to fund the company for the next 5 years then its (much) better than a further fund raising exercise. As has been said all along, it is the the cancer market that is where the big money is and the sooner further progress can be made the better for SP appreciation.

Ok, ND but you never know, through discussion we might get some light, but join the ranks of deciding who should post what & when.

Its not like anything said here makes any difference, i don't know why everybody gets so precious here, the insecurity is palpable.
But just for the sake of argument, just say it turns out my analysis is correct, maybe it would help put the SP reaction in some sort of context and allow people to make better informed judgements on their holdings if they agree?

Otherwise I don't really know what the point is of posting anything from anyone. Its all dot joining otherwise we would just be posting stuff that we all, already know.

For instance, I added when it seemed to have reversed the downtrend. Now I am having to consider what I do next. I explain my thoughts on an investment BB. Shock Horror! My conclusion is to wait (yet again) to see what the update will be later this month but with a view (in another post) to buy if it spikes or falls to around 200p.

But hey, you post what you want and I won't talk about that. ok?

Clearly its unlikely AVCT will sell any tests in the UK while the govt are giving away the Innova test for free.

That is meant to expire at the end of June I believe, but with the recent increase in cases I would not be surprised if the freebies are extended. (I am absolute convinced that when companies and individuals have to pay, then the amount of testing they do will reduce considerably. (Currently, (apparently) if its 25m a week Innova tests being taken and only 30-50k worth of positive cases resulting. That is a colossal amount of negative tests and if you were paying for it week in and week out you would stop doing it pretty quick, I think.)

We know Innova are setting up production in the UK and I think if AVCT is to be a sovereign supplier it will be via Innova and they will use the AVCT tech. We will wait and see, but probably not until July at the earliest. If its not its a bit odd as to why Innova would set up in the UK, so I think its at least plausible that we will have the tie up that way. If not, then I find it difficult to see where AVCT fit in with the UK govt?

The EU is more promising. Bigger market and behind the curve here in vaccination roll out and there is no reason why the test won't sell straight away there. (unless countries have a free testing service there like we do? I don't know).

Given AS has repeatedly made supply demand claims to the affect of there is room for several good tests and that the only problem will be supplying the demand I can only assume that his rhetoric is backed up by some orders of intent in the background and it looks increasing like it will be predominantly abroad. But quite when now is hard to say.

The RNS (which tends to be more accurate and less specific on timelines than AS interviews), said sales " in the coming months" which again indicates July onwards.

I think the market has reacted to putting this on the back burner until a clear picture of sales, timelines and profit margins are revealed.

Again I am thinking the big news on the update will be the first patient dosing dates for AVA6000 and not the test.

RN, its not remotely oversold on the RSI. It would have to be below 20 for a start and its when it gets into single figures that it starts being " majorly oversold".

As I type the low this morning at SP 212.95p was RSI 25.87, now SP 214.4 and RSI is 30.18p (15m interval chart)

It remains to be seen if it has bottomed out yet

ophidian,

Certainly from my paired down TA application on (small) stocks it looked as though 214p was always going to be tested when 233p went. As I said when we last spoke, I don't really see 214 as a support per se which makes me think a spike to to 200p or thereabouts may well come. (I have released funds for this if it happens, but in truth I hope its not required and you are right and we start to make gains from around this level. )

Unfortunately the Trading range is now under pressure and in fact has been breeched as we speak but the day is not done yet obviously. It looks as though the big support of 198p (give or take) might be tested, at some time with a spike down to see who buys in. (i would have thought that a lot of money would come in at that level, but we shall see, and its just my "feeling" probably bias as that's what I would like.

It will on turn a sixpence if a revenue making RNS is dropped but right now its looking pretty friendless.

Sorry Jackbal, I was in a bad mood yesterday and reacted to your post in a way that I am sure you had no intention to offend anyone.

(Having said that your royal highness works pretty good for me but maybe stick with Windybum as its more accurate I think)

Apologies again

Ray, the trouble is If I say the SP is going up then everybody is happy ,if I say its going down then it tends to get personally abusive pretty quickly and I get tired of it. And as it doesn't make any difference what I say, the SP will do its thing in any event, The fun and enjoyment of posting on a BB is removed for me pretty quickly.
Plus of course just upsets the BB for everybody else.
Phantom & Nightmare particularly have a problem with my posts and that then translates to me so if you don't mind, to keep things calm here I won't post any more (I am only posting this because I did not want to seem rude in not answering your question.
Good luck with your exploration of TA. ATB

" Good luck all holders whether trading or investing" or just short term holders and long term holders or....just holders?