Member Info for wyndrum

Bella, and others that are quick to point at others bad picks, how about we try to learn from the mistakes rather than jeer?

All AVCT holders who have chipped into this BB have had a long hard ride with mistakes along the way.

A universal one on this & other boards is the "breadcrumb" effect. Particularly when it comes to advertised staff .

So, ignore that. and indeed other supposedly connected companies talking to each other via linked in or whatever. This whole detective thing has proved to be wrong. And not just here, on all of the high risk binary plays.

The next one is to assume the CEO in interviews is exaggerating the positive and basically to disregard what he/she says.

RNS's have to be more water tight so try and look at what they don't say, that perhaps you expected some reference to.

Like it or not (and this is hindsight), the SP can and more often than not indicates what is going on. So a falling SP over a period of time when the expectation is for good news and a rising of the SP is a real red flag. (This is nothing to do with TA)

These BB's like it or not are echo chambers, they can easily give the impression that the case for holding or buying more is overwhelming. This is done by almost always (all BB's) by assuming a different opinion is done for malicious reasons.

It obscures the risk element of the stock.

Most people who do post on these BB's are not experienced investors, so bear that in mind when reawding their opinion.

I have said before that overall I think these are actually harmful in terms of wealth creation, but if you are going to carry on reading and posting bear some of the above in mind perhaps?

Fish, I did not delete any thread if that's what you are implying?

However, I am happy to discuss my posts on other stocks here but I am guessing that no one here is interested.

What is similar about the stock you refer to is that all the "research" from their posters said it was almost certain that the P3 trial would be very positive on the back of of P1 and P2 results.
The interesting bit is that they felt this was confirmed by seeing job adverts for senior positions.
Ring any bells here?
The other noteworthy similarity was that SNG failed in the trial because they were testing their drug on patients that were also taking other medication and it completely muddied the results as to be almost unusable. This was not made clear to any investor prior to the result.

It reminds me of the AVCR LFT using antibody markers in it, somewhat negating the whole point of the Affimer concept in the test. Again, unbeknownst to us investors.

So yes we all mistakes, of course we do, but there as here unfortunately highlights the limitations of PI's doing diligent research and drawing completely the wrong conclusion.

At least with TA as soon as the market moves against you you accept your "mistake" and exit the trade. Currently I am content with my AVCT holding at the levels I have overall.

Orphidian when you say "Sometimes a gap fill is just a gap fill !"

Is that what you meant when you posted it? ie it had no significance? (In which case why did you post it?)

Up gaps are generally considered bullish. A down gap is just the opposite of an up gap.

I genuinely get confused by your TA posts. There is no context and you seem to shy away from further conversation when asked.

This will also get deleted I am sure, like the other 2 posts where I simply and politely asked for some clarity on your posts as I read them to mean you were bullish.

D: that was very diplomatic of you to say..." yes it is you!"

ha ha! :0))

Yes, D: that would sound quite comprehensive, expansive and impressive of the brand. (Is it me, but I feel if you listed Argos in the same company as the examples you used, it would dull the effect?)

Noobs "We still need that Helium marketplace."

We still need to discover Helium first ! :0))

It was deleted very quickly but I read your contribution. Thanks again :0))

Yes, its all up in the air now with the DFS deal!
How many extra sales will be generated and crucially, at what margin? Will it be enough to get Eve back on track?

I think when the SP was around 5-6p that was on the basis that EVE would soon-to-be profit making, so that I think is the short term SP target if CC can talk up positively the DFS deal at the results release.

If at the same time if she can somehow mitigate or reassure the mkt, the likely cost increases starting to come through then that would be a double dose of good news.

I had not realised (not following DFS) that they had a record of buying out smaller companies that they bought stock from.

Given I personally have thought that a takeover was the best solution for EVE then this does seem to fit perfectly as I think DFS could cut overheads quite substantially with EVE under their belt

If (BIG IF), this goes well I still see a buy out around 10p in the near term. EVE would have to demonstrate a good record of profit to get more I think and that would take another 2-3 years of results

Just speculating of course, but this is a game changer in the making I think.

(PS D: you're a good man to stick your head over the parapet the way you do :0))

Maybe D, DFS will wait to see how the web sales go before giving over valuable store footage as beds are big areas of selling space?

I wonder how long this has been in the works?

Hi CI,

Check out yesterday at 17:25 Thread: Reasons to be Cheerful (incl. TA!)

Cheers

crofty I have just done a dummy sales at 2.8p and a buy at 2.95p. So not too bad in reality?

This is interesting and I think it is not such a fanciful leap to consider that this might be the eventual endgame.

On the face of it it makes a lot of commercial sense for DFS to add an area of furniture/home product that it currently does not have and matching up with a brand that is struggling to be profitable.

They could run it all from their own website4 and stores with little extra cost and I imagine with the reduction in EVE BoD who are likely the largest paid staff, there are easy and substantial cost savings in those IT and Staff costs and obviously office space overheads as well.

We will see but it will be interesting as to what, should it come to pass, the buy out price would be.....?

Just speculation of course, but this is a good entry price for this as a potential outcome.

D, given that there are problems with EVE's main carrier, perhaps as you say, they will be responsible for deliveries of their products but will give the contract to whoever DFS use?

The spikes before on EVE have usually been on flimsy reports or just a rumour. This one was "real news" having their product on a website visited by around 2.7 million every month.

Although its not the complete range yet that may come or at the very least it should introduce new potential customers who may then google EVE and see their accessories.

This looks a good fit to me with Dunelm as well for Eve to get better brand awareness.

From a TA perspective my above thoughts that this is better than previous reasons for a sharp upward move make me trust the chart and RSI pattern. The RSI pattern shows a reversal, (it has however done this previously and has shown to be a false signal)) but the finishing of the SP at a close of 2.8p is just above a resistance of 2.75p having shot straight through the 2.15-2.26p resistance. so, taking all this into account it looks promising (to me anyway!).

Its a bit messy now from a chart perspective as I said earlier, and the intraday pull back from around 3.3p was quite strong, but when you have a near 100% increase in a trading day, perhaps not so unexpected.

Anyway, we shall see but you would like to think we have anew floor of 2.8p now rather than the 1,7p previously....

Just my opinion, dyor etc etc

Next resistance is around 3.8-3.95, so that's the target.

Might edge to it in front of results and depending on how they are reported could be the catalyst to take it up further.

or they just wait 12 months?

Clearly Polygon see value in SNG and at this high level of ownership and continued buying, it seems to me they want to put a bid in.

How do reckon that Richard?

nice retrace on the day chart. I would expect it to start rising again soon.

the difference a penny can make.... :0))

looks to be an ok place to buy. Bounced off support at 9.95p which bodes well to have another go at 11.3p

(imo dyor etc)