Member Info for wyndrum

Not sure steve.

My view on the chart is its on a support but in a downtrend so the question is: will the support hold so maybe the supoort suggests sentiment will move up from here as it has done previously. Or, technically until the downtrend is reversed technically it expects further falls.

If you are a new potential stock holder and want to buy, you tend to wait for a support as an entry point (particularly in an uptrend), but still now for instance, as a good entry point if you think the fall is likely to be over.

If you are already a holder you may wait for the support to be broken before selling.

All buyers (and sellers) have to make a decision at some stage and pull the trigger. No one knows what will happen so its the individual has to have their own plan/strategy as to when to make a decision and when that criteria is fulfilled, react. The scale of their decision and confidence in the future outcome then comes into risk/reward.

What must be eliminated is any emotion in the process, otherwise whats the point of looking at a chart if all you are waiting for is confirmation bias?

Hope so hammy as I have just topped up this afternoon

Cindercone , its a fixed £6 a trade on HL.

(God you are thick. )

Does the "interesting" stuff come with pictures?

I guess pedro if you can't get through a single paragraph books must be a challenge or even news articles esp RNS's

My reasoning Chris is this. I don't trust AVCT's words based on their past. The RNS have more weight because is there some quasi legal obligation supporting their veracity.

Up until today it looked to me that ava6k value was diminishing, a deal through that seemed remoter than ever and that funding therefore would be front and centre. Counter to that is the new trial hope that seems to have learnt from the present trial so will more effective and that there will be news to establish the bona fides of that belief. On balance I thought there was more chance of a fall than a rise

Specifically I was not convinced where AVCT were with the this IND application. Again due to my distrust on AVCT's words and slipped past timelines I was wary of it doming anytime soon.

But, today it confirms timelines are ok as advertised.

I get and take on board your criticism but if the news changes then i have emotionally no problem with doing a 180 even within 24 hours. (yes, i am a bit peeved that this was not released at the same as yesterday's RNS, but hey ho its the cost of doing business. The cost of my sells and rebuys has not caused any cost to me so it doesn't matter.

I am still very cautious on this stock but i think this news might therefore put a floor under the 52p support in which case my previous expectation of further falls has been questioned. I now think on balance there is a greater chance of rises than falls. But, who knows?

I bought at 56.9 this morning.

Pedro,

how about this as an alternative, seeing as RH is pretty savvy, he says to his pals "ask for more stock,, You wont get it but it lwill allow us to say it is over subscribed which increases the chances for you for a spike in the SP so you make more money? (Given the SP has fallen way below the offer price of last year suggests to me there is little appetite currently in this stock.)

Some of you can't wait to say how I try and manipulate the stock which with all our piddling amounts we can't even if we wanted to, but the big players get a free pass from you as though they are only paragons of virtue.

It was the head of AVCT (AS at the time) who smiled and said don't worry about finding. You all seemed to be shocked after the event yet none of you saw it coming?

You seem to go out of your way for positive bias. Where has it got you? Do you ever learn from experience?

"Data is leverage, dilution without leverage is stupidity.

Long term, this is exactly how you maximise value. Short term, it’s going to be volatile as hell and anyone obsessing over daily ticks is going to suffer big time. 🤣🤣💯"

Why would the SP be volatile in the short term as more data is released as its the data that is going to maximise value? Surely the SP should just carry on rising. Like today for instance.

Surely the volatility will only be produced directly because of ambiguous and uncertain data?

And also, how long is long term (AVCT as a plc is 20 years old)?

1 year ago the SP was 50p

5 yrs ago the SP was 150p

10 years ago it was 125p

All that data, all that volatility in between, and this now trading close to all time lows.

But yeah, its the market that been wrong for 20 years with their short-term outlook and not understanding the data

CH, is D right? Did I read sarcasm in your post when you were congratulating my trading record incorrectly?

LDA, I don't know what you are referring to? (I fly out 2-3 times a year on holiday.)

I'm not sure why you use the word "pretend", but as I say I don't know what you are talking about.

As for ice he is simply an idiot if he thinks I have any multiple accounts.

This whole "multiple account" thing is a very convenient way of trying to discredit views others disagree with. I am not Thorn or DG or anyone else. I have only ever had 1 account.

If any wish to perpetuate this then its your problem not mine.

(I seem to recall Thorn was incredibly bullish until recently, yet I remained cautious all the way through. His writing style is completely different, so different views, different styles plus I know for a fact I am right and you are wrong about multiple log-ins, but wait... hold the front page...none of that will change a single mind here which is a testement to the narrow-minded, myopic view and reasoning of so many here.)

You are right chris I did buy (top up) (£2k) at 79p and got out with less than 3% loss. (I said I have 3-4 losses in every 10)

Over all that tranche of buying was successful.

However you are very sceptical of my record so I don't think there is much point continuing this point. I have done fine with AVCT, you don't believe. I really don't care. (And nor does anybody else.) But it was you that asked, not me.

Chris, Just the very brief highlights: I bought heavily when the SP(years ago was 102p and stated that) and with a bit of trading in between ended up with 77000 shares which I sold down from 256p ( I almost always hold a portion in case of the mythical RNS drop.)

When it collapsed into the 40's I bought there and more in the 50's and 60's and sold down from 100p with the last tranche in the 70s.

Most recently I bought again at 32p and added in the 40s again with some trading in between and have been selling down from the 70's and 50's.

I have been very, very active at various times in this stock and not all successfully, obviously, however I have ended up with a success rate of around 60/70% correct calls. Some with just a few thou on the table sometimes tens of thousands. (Its not always that much, £10% of £5k is only £500 profit)

I never bet the house in one trade and in this stock I invariably keep some in hand although last year for a while I was completely out. I can see that happening again.

Every trade I make stands on its own. I don't care if when I sell I have made, after costs only a few %. I try to avoid losses as much as possible. Often when there is a pull back if it gets close to my buy in, I bank the profit however small.

keeping my capital intact as much as I can given the risk is my paramount aim. I see the year as successful if after everything in every trade in every stock (and there are many!), I am up by more than 5% as that is roughly the alternative in a savings account, so my ambition is small, but the strategy has provided more than that over the years.

The less I care about big wins and keep scalping here and there, helps remove the emotional attachment and therefore aids me in my decision making.

As you can read here I have gotten under the skin (unfortunately) of what seems to be the majority here and that is due not to me (a stranger) but the individuals emotional attachment to their own decision making. (That emotional anger needs venting and releasing and it has to go somewhere!)

(Thats why social media is such a cess pit imo, there are a lot of unhappy people with their lives and decisions, and take it out on others because there is no comeback. Do you know any happy people who routinely spout bile and insults at strangers without even having the facts or correct info?)

(I guess i am doing a social service to people here on the board? :0))

My "faith" biggi, does not affect my investment decisions. I have traded this stock successfully for over 4 years (it took about 6 months for me to realise a: it was in fact tradeable and b:that results did not match the BoD's hype.

Thats why i have stayed here. I make money on this stock.

Also I find it illuminating into this part of the human psyche the thoughts and reasoning of posters here.

No pedro, you always have your little get-out clause to any inconvenient post "I won't engage".

Well, fine so stop posting lies and insults about me. If you would stop engaging then the whole BB would benefit. But you won't of course because all you want to do is disrupt.

Your hypocrisy is monumental

Pedo, how is what RR says different in essence (maybe tone for sure), to what I have said?

You agree with him that you live in hope on this stock. That is not an investment strategy.

My posts come from that direction. Will I make money by buying this stock? could I better returns elsewhere?

Those are the only questions, after your research, that should be asked and answered.

One fine day you will get it that to continually question the risks the individual takes by running their own portfolio without likely any training or experience in doing so is prudent and is not Fud, or any other invented idea you have to try and discredit views you don't agree with. The absurdity of your position is that you continually attack the character rather than the thoughts of the poster.

Just fore Chris: I have sold down quite a bit this morning (53.7p) to leave a small rump.

Not sure where this is going now.

AVA6k has gone like all the rest of the AVCT stable: great promise but in the end fails to live up to the hype.

Which in turn puts doubts over the next trial because again at this stage its all words so the outcome is hardly guaranteed.

Are timelines slipping? Not sure but when have they not?

Is there enough money? No

Is a deal imminent? well, it can always come out of the blue but I think AVA6k has disappointed with the extra data (take note ice), so if there ever was a not to distant deal, that seems to have receeded or disappeared altogether. Which only further confirms my original thoughts that a RI and more dilution comes next.

Trouble is now, where will the SP be for that likely raise?

And overlaying all of this is the direction of travel in a broader sense and it is vaccines, again, my analogy is that AVCT are improving the combustion engine while the industry goes electric. And although I presume there will be a market for chemo going forward, but for how long? The more alternatives come to market the less value long term will AVCT tech have.

For instance I can't see 10 years ahead in this science, can anyone?

So, the risks now have increased for me.

How long I will keep this stock at all will probably be determined over the next few months. (I may trade of course if the opportunity presents itself but I agree the likely best scenario is likely to be a relatively low take out price. (hence why I still have some stock holding)

imo dyor etc

This is much more reassuring. FIngers crossed now for good results

"Response to Wyndrum’s slightly combative post nicely measured. I like how this is going"

I echo Touks reply but my post was not meant to be combative, and I apologise if thats how it came across.

Chris,

" I wanted (rightly or wrongly) data that left no ambiguity re next stages / gaining accelerated approval and I don't think that's what we got with the 1b data. I do however see it as unequivocal proof of the platform technology and strong enough data due to the high disease control rate and prolonged progression free survival to lead to a deal in the coming months (within current cash period) and I still think there's a reasonable chance that some 1b data from STS & TNBC will surprise to the upside this quarter/next."

That begs the obvious question: why were you disappointed? Why, after all this time and data, did you not get the unequivocal data you expected?

Why is there a "Reasonable" chance of better data going forward if not supported in this round of data?

Is not reasonable to deduce that the platform works as intended but the efficacy less so?

(To me that is blindingly obvious. Others seem to dance on the head of a pin to come with alternatives.)