Member Info for wyndrum

I’m not sure if this was a little bit desperate in as much as perhaps AVCT have been underwhelmed thus far by BP’s interest and aimed the RNS at everyone else in the hope it strikes a chord with someone who has not been so involved with AVCT to date?

I imagine AZ have thought about this prior to yesterday’s rns.

I don’t think they are quite the gibbering headless chickens some here seem to assume.

Again I presume they already know all about AVCT and have resisted the urge to buy them so far at a lower price so what does that suggest? Beats me.

Toffers, "It does actually do a lot of damage because in their cartels they work...."

where is your evidence that any poster works for any cartel? Do you do i? do many here?

You have no idea but you can say that baseless assumption simply to try and bolster a view you have no evidence for.

Also, if you truly believe that these BB's are manipulated nefariously, then why bother reading anything because it can work both ways, the positive posts might be just as designed to get to posters to buy. And even more fundamental, why put your money in an investment so easily manipulated potentially to your cost?

Its like going to a casino you KNOW to be crooked? or going to a website that scams people). Why would you do that? I could tell you of course and it is simply greed overriding everything else your rational side is telling you. Thats how powerful emotional response is.

"My reservations are about the derampers that say they have no faith in the company but linger like a bad smell. They are the ones trying to manipulate investors into selling whilst secretly buying themselves."

Crypt, you have no evidence that they are buying. None at all, and in fact based on the only evidence you have (the posts themselves), it would suggest they are not. So whats that about?

And maybe look at it this way:

If you had someone close to you who was taking drugs or harming themselves in some way, would you just tell them once and go or persist in your view of trying to help them?

Like I say these BB's have very limited beneficial affect for investing and are mostly as far I can see, positively harmful.

This topic is a current theme on just about every BB on LSE at some time or another. Obviously, it is more prevalent on high(er) risk stocks.

If we break it down:

Is it being asked that no post can be posted expressing the risks of the stock if they believe the chances of failure are higher than success?

Is it reasonable in high risk stocks to accentuate the possibilities of things going wrong? (delays, finance, ambiguous RNS's etc etc)

(It is worth noting that the reason these stocks are labelled "high-risk" is because typically most of these companies go bust and therefore to highlight this is both reasonable and helpful to investors new and old.)

There will always be a majority of "positive" posts on these BB's as it is reasonable to think they outnumber non-holders so it tends to look like this is an over reaction when the cry goes up to stop a view the positive posters disagree with.

Then we get to the "influence" factor.

I can't prove this but I think highly likely that the combined poster base here cannot with their buys or sells influence the SP. Even if it could it would be by a tiny margin and given the spread makes it unlikely that a profit could be made by this.

However i do accept that posts, both positive and negative, might influence others here to buy or sell. If that is the case and you recognise that you are susceptible then STOP READING THESE BB'S!

By and large they are not helpful. At all.

Gambling (and when you do not know the outcome that is what it is), then it is a highly emotional experience that is very addictive. These BB's both with their positive and negative bias posts exaggerate that FEAR and GREED tap dance that any type of gambling stimulates. That is why I am not a fan of these BB's.

(If you wonder why i bother posting it is always interesting to me to see how different posts generate different reactions. I had to control my emotional response to trading some years ago so try to remain detached from the emotional pull. FWIW having a mechanical plan really helps with this natural emotional response.)

At their best these BB's can throw up some genuine insight and general helpful big picture stuff, but when it comes to detail, we are guessing like everybody else and should be taken in that light, potentially interesting but hardly conclusive.

If there are just continual wilfully rude or unjustified opinions from a poster or posters, and you find no benefit then just filter them. The fact this rarely happens again highlights the emotional grip the stock has over the poster proposing "action"

Anyway, again fwiw, capital protection is the single most important part of "investing"

" I’m interested in the mechanics of the tape, not the consensus of the crowd...."

The 2 are intimately relayed though.

It is through the crowd behaviour that you interpret the mechanics.

The original IPO ands subsequent RI and income from others over the years gets us to where we are today after 23 years i think.

BV, the question still remains how effective it is though.

If it does not affect the tumour as well as non AVCT dox then being unlimited does not help does it.

And what has the SP done since this, on the face of it, transformational news?

There will be an RNS one day that either confirms the promise or not. When that definitive data arrives the SP will move dramatically.

My point being the SP is as good an indicator as any as to what BP think about AVCT.

The market reads RNS's, BP reads RNS's

Neither to date think much of the latest news.

Es you did mac, but in the end the RSI signal was correct.

My point is while i like many others have really enjoyed your commentary and explanations the price action has not so far supported your intepretation.

Do you think your view could be mistaken?

Yes I know that Mac, but I also mentioned at the time that the RSI was very very overbought and you said not to pay attention to it (although I did as this is not my first rodeo either.)

Yes yeboa, I am commenting on a ramping post to show that perhaps its a bit rose tinted.

Whats your point?

When will the finance be sorted out? how much will it be for? who will finance the extra funds needed?

I'll help you:

Don't know, Don't know, Don't know.

Will any of those factors have a material impact on the SP?

Again, let me help,

Likely yes, Likely yes, Likely yes

Does it make it risky to buy in front of that info?

Ok, Mac, fair enough, but where did the selling come from to force the near 50% retrace?

presumably it was mostly retail sales that that allowed this big investor(s) to buy in the first place, so who was to left to sell? And you were saying last week that the whale continued buying to support the SP, so they could have continued to buy to support the SP in the quite dramatic fall/retrace?

I ask because this stock is notorious for pump and dump and its starting to look lke this was just another one?

no tr1, no moving on with the SP from the 1p high and instead a sizeable fall.

Are you still confident this is II's and not PI's?

While I have been very interested in MCNols explanations I don't understand based on his theory's why there has not been a TR1 (or 2) issued?

Any comment Mac?

Well, its a point of view for sure.

".. objectively now it's incredible what the team have done on the science front in so little time and resources. "

It is an outlier for a phase 1 trial to last anywhere near this long and so far its circa £200m of money spent.

And if the last 6 years have been "massive risk" I am not sure what the turning point today was.

AVCT still seem to be touting their wares at conferences and the like whereas by now I am amazed that not everyone who needs to know, does not already know. And these exhibitions/conferences all cost.

That says to me that so far in fact BP is not interested. We have to wait some more.

Of course you don't CJ, why would you?

The trial is still in phase 1 after 5 years and the SP has fallen from 150p to 56p.

But hey, its not about ava6k anymore is it? its all about another trial due to start.

You think a deal is about to be signed after 5 years worth of data?

Would any of us thought after 5 years and 4 RI's the SP would be here?

Doses experience teach you nothing other than to be rude?

Again bella gets there in the end.

fwiw always read comments from CEO's carefully. When they use words like excited expectant or nay positive future tense words or expressions always realise that they can ultimatelt be disappointed, delayed etc etc .

It is not coincidence that they use very positive but ultimately quite easily deniable language to get across a "positive" message on basically no info at all.

Not to distant future springs to mind, speaking to may companies, sure but they may have all said not interested but keep in touch if anything changes, it does not mean a deal is about to be done. ND listing? all they have to do is google the terms of a listing to say they are looking into it.

But hey, this is the most well researched BB on lse as well as AVCT being the most transparent aim company out there with shareholders always kept in the loop.

Its a crap shoot on small companies. always has been always will be. One day you will realise we know nothing until after the event whats going on so when we buy in front of that kpublic knowledge we are gambling and guessing it will all come good.

I only mention this to remind us all we are not "investors" when betting on companies like this.

I had top sliced some at just under 1p and the RSI was too high for me to go any other way but now it has fallen to around a support at .6p and the RSI is back in buy territory I shall put the funds back in.

Don’t forget, we still have bs to report soon which will actually put money in the HE1 bank account!

Mac, with still today all this buying, then who is selling? it can't all be pi's can it?

Yes russell, when I bought AVCT I thought it was the best place for my money at that time however as the buying started in HE1 last week I made a decision to transfer avct money into HE1. I took a small loss to do so but thought the risk reward was worth it.

The trouble with you and others you judge me by your standards.

I think right now over the next 6 months CPX, XSG, AVCT and HE1 could deliver multi bag returns. However I am all cashed up in my isas presently so move money around from these 4 speculative stocks to attempt to take advantage of situations as they develop.

if you accept that I trade frequently then I don't see why you would think my actions are inconsistent.

I think because you have this dislike pf my posts you invent scenarios where you think I must be losing money all the time so as to make you fell somehow better.

Because I try to minimise losses I just don't sit on a stock and watch it fall 30% and do nothing (AVCT from mid 80's to mid 50's in less than 3 months)

Maybe you do? maybe your holding AVCT is in hansom profit or maybe you still have a capital loss. I dpn't know, and guess what it does not matter to me either. Do what you like, but stop wasting your time judging me as it won't stop my trading behaviour all the time I stay in overall profit.

Many find trading is not for them. Thats fine of course, but it works overall for me.

Just remember this share was 150p 5 years ago when the trial got under way and now its a third of that price after all the results to date and now the great hope is on a new trial yet to start. A bit like the LFT was going to work and the then new ava6k trial would just bring even more riches to the shareholders.

I hope it does come good but the track record here is actually both consistent and typical of companies in this field.(Ie its always tomorrow and in the meantime can we have some more of your money please.)

".... hypothetical trading success"

Why do you assume its hypothetical?

I think you believe I trade frequently.

I think you believe I predominately use charts to time exit and entry.

Why given that it was you and before, others, who insisted i tell them when i was buying and selling (with the intention of "proving i failed) do you now bleat on that nobody cares?

When it comes to incoherent you should perhaps look at your own posts?

Anyway, I'll shut up about my trading if you lot stop bringing it up.

Its the same as the insults, if you posts untruths I generally respond to set the record straight. I quite understand thats its up you to believe it or not, but if you stop personalising posts about me, you will find I in fact post very little here.

Mind you I have been asking you all this for 5 years but you can't help but grasp any straw, true or invention, to make you think and feel superior.

Its not me with the ego problems.