Member Info for wyndrum

I'll take that bet.

if you are right Ill' be so well off treating you top a slap up meal at the shard will be my pleasure, and if it doesn't, I get a slap up meal at the Shard.

I like the risk reward. This is my sort of bet. :0))

Not too bad, looks like the investors meeting reassured the market. Looks good I think. Might need to buy some more.

Well, unfortunately without the ability to time travel or have a crystal ball, you can only work with what is in front of you.

It was overbought, now with this fall it isn't, so at least there is reduced odds of a further fall. If it goes through 125p I will sell so risking 5p loss for 26p gain is a 5-1 risk reward ratio so worth imo, a punt.

It was hopelessly over bought and looks to be a straight forward unwinding from there.

its on a support now so looks like a place to get in if one had felt they missed the initial boom with the potential of a 20% gain just to go back to the high of a few trading sessions ago.

I have thrown a bit at just now to see if it sticks otherwise it will test 126p and if that went then its a bit steep to the next support at 95p but that all depends on how fluffy the rise was.

if it was just PI's following a rising share then it could deflate just as easily, but if there was/is a bit more to the rise then a period of rentracement is typical and expected.

Yes do that cj when you have lost the argument and then all of it is erased. Good tactic.

Thing is posts should only be deleted if they contravene lse guidelines. as we are discussing AVCT that is not the case. You have been almost civil throughout so no reasons there.

But its just the latest tactic from reporting every post I make with no caveat on its content, so as too get me banned to trying to bully me off this BB with abuse and insults, to inventing and lying about what I previously said, to now a cancel culture.

How do you feel about Rah, TTB, MM, ophidian, and others I can't recall off the top of my head that so far over several years have been in every forecast 100% wrong? And thats before we get to current posters who have been here for years and also have refused to recognise (until much later), that perhaps the SP is not going the way they kept posting it would.

Gracie, reference the post where I said AVCT was finished would you?

I never say where the SP is headed. How do i know. What i have said millions of times it has 2 options. I will simply say what i think is most likely.

I have also stated that the stock was a buy a 102p (a number of times, at the time), as it rose to 280p. I also stated I was selling down from 256p as i thought it was likely to go down. I made other posts to continue i was selling as the SP continued to fall.

At 31p I was musing that the next raise could be 20p or likely less based on the icompetance of the way the company had been managed.

And the other point is as I have often stated, I don't care if I am right or wrong with my forecasts and if the picture changes I will change my view.

After a few weeks I decided that it was worth building a position again,

So in conclusion, I thought AVCt was looking at further dilution and SP falls so at 31p having sold the majority of my holding to leave a small rump decided to not to wait and liquidate what I had left.

I don't and never proclaim to know whats going too happen. Thats why my posts are so long, i try to articulate my thought process so people like you don't simply make up stuff that I never said. (Hows that worked out?)

Lets get real broad brush here Chris.

I apparently have just been negative for years on AVCT as an investment for years.

What was the price of the high and the low and where is the SP now?

Then please explain how I have been incorrect.

Or are we going to ignore the SP. You know the only marker we have for a successful investment or not.

Cyber, they have made good progress on reducing overheads and on paper have time for more revenue to come in prior to need to raise money. So we might get away with it.

That might be addressed at the meeting today

I suggested that one a vaqcine came out in Nov there was a short window to get the LFT out, by then it was already 2 months late, It was then discussed how much AVCT could charge for a test (they didn't) have. I said that was fantasy and that the cost would be prohibitive against cheaper test already available.

As the delays kept coming I said there was a problem.

I forecasted cash raises were necessary prior to the general feeling here and that the finance suplanted any science developments and therefore it would drag the SP down

I was not universally correct in my SP predictions but I was far more right than wrong.

I have maintained that the market is not as thick as mince when valuing AVCT. (The opposite view being in the majority here which is laughable)

I highlighted slipped time lines and was correct. I mentioned that it was taking along time for enrolment suggesting perhaps that the results so far were not exceeding expectations.

I have maintained that we do not have the full picture of the trials and tribulations that AVCT are dealing with and therefore optimistic predictions based soley on AVCT's words is niave.

I always caveat what I say because i am trying to piece bits of info and experience without having the full picture, so of course I could be wrong.

New news is alwas going to either enforce or change views depending on its content.

What I do know is that many here who still routinely try to cancel me, insult me and all the rest, now have come to the same conclusions i thought months and years ago.

Chris Although technically there is 7 months left of cash it will be around oct/nov for the next raise.

But I think you know that because every raise comes months before the deadline so why quote a misleading figure?

Thats right Jay, but the confirmation of timelines displays that it is on track and there have been no last minute screw ups.

And the summer is only 3 months away so if people want to get in on the ground floor it would seem now is the time so I expect on balance a rise moving t 2p plus over the coming days/weeks.

I hope this is reinforced by the meeting later today as you flag.

(I think XSG are in the best place than they have ever been for share holders). imo dyor etc

What are you talking about CJ?

That is just hysterical nonsense.

I am saying I think (along with many others) that a takeover/buyout is most likely and I also think best for current shareholders and explained why.

Thats the point of analysis, you try and look at all outcomes and do your best to find the most likely based on reason and logic.

Reads ok, I am not sure if the market has already priced it in. My guess is that there is room for an increase as I would have have thought the market would have been a bit wary.

Anyway, we will soon find out

My intention cj is to try and explore various scenarios and work out which is most likely.

Its impossible for you to get past your misguided view that I keep running avct down as though there is a vendetta or agenda. That displays a closed mind because my posts don't imply anything of the sort.

I would remind you that the idea is to buy a stock who's SP appreciates. Are you claiming that AVCT have been a good performer over the last 5 years?

My analysis exploring potential pitfalls and likely effects on the SP has broadly been right. Why, given the outcome do you see me in such a negative light?

Please don't raise the fact I am a trader. That implies I can influence the SP which is simply not true and also I am long and have never shorted this company. My goal has to been to maximise profit out of a very volatile stock which has allowed me to trade it overall, profitably. I have had to buy in the expectation it will rise and only sell if I think it might fall.

So I have bought more times than I have sold. Hardly nergative is it.

What I don't have is a cultish belief that AVCT can do no wrong and that somehow they are immune to any criticism

The problem Jam, that to stay in the game, it won't be a £310m raise for 6 months

As it is another raise is probably likely because by the time initial data is released later this year, the time taken to do a deal will necessitate more funds to tide avct over. (Obviously the SP should be a lot higher but it feels its a bit all or nothing in the sense that maybe AVCT will get some revenue from AVA6k (but again remember its only phase 1 completed) but then how long does AVCT need to hang on for more spectacular data? 1 year, 2, more? If so we are back to a substantial cash raise.

Thing is we are still some way off from commercial use.

Phase 1

Then phase 2 and possibly/probably phase 3

All bigger trials with more patients and we have 1 just completing (phase 1), 1 just starting and others in the pipeline. How much money is going to be needed? what size the workforce? are we talking 5 years and £500m? more, less?

(As for your "predicament" D, say you get your wish and in 5 years time you realise more money, will not the same problem be there for you, or will you never sell?)

Anyway, if results are spectacular as they may be, then I think it academic as a bid will happen

Which ever way you cut it, going it alone via ND or a partnership or whatever, is expensive and will take further years for trails to complete.

The best solution is for current shareholders is a buy out on the back of initial data this year for, best guess £3-6b.

We get our payout and then the company with sufficient funds can fast track it from there on. CC and the team would no doubt be part of the deal so she gets her ambitions sated and we can all move on otherwise its years and with time comes risk.

What apathetic justification!

There is nothing funny in this online bullying where all the recs go along with insulting and unpleasant behaviour.

Are you saying that the insults made towards Touk are just a bit of leg pulling and are all good natured, is that really your position? Have you asked Touk how he feels about this.

When you take the mick out of someone you know, you already can see if they will see the funny side of it or be upset or angry.

But you don't apply this filter to a stranger and thats only because there is no comeback.

So cowardly

what is it with you lot?

seriously, what sort of people are you.

baiting a fellow poster with the same interest as you with the same desire that the company will succeed and all you can do is make fun of him in a very nasty way and at the same time anyone suffering from alcohol addiction would be distraught with the flippancy you display.

why stop there, why not take the **** out of a cancer sufferer?

where is the line you have for simply being appalling human beings?

there is a bit more to life than this bb and stock. and what makes life so enjoyable? its human interaction, its sharing experiences with others. thats what it is about and all you can do is throw nasty insults around with the sole intention to upset and denigrate complete strangers.

you seem to have a very horrible and warped view of where you get your kicks. you should be utterly ashamed with your behaviour.

Can someone ask bella what she considers cheap please? (it will give a sense of dilution)