Member Info for wyndrum

We inch ever closer to ultimately the defining results.

This is what I think the results show:

The platform works by reducing toxicity dramatically for the patient and does release the drug directly into the tumour. I believe the trial ava6k proves this. The new trial has also in the mice and lab, continued this development.

What still has to be proved is the consistent effect it has on the tumour(s) itself. I also believe there have been head scratching results in the trial (AVA6k)

How it is reacting in the present trial is currently unknown.

If you read everything CC is saying (forget the "excitement" and "expectations" and all that stuff ), the she is is not talking about the actual results on patients, only that it does what it was designed to do, ie keep the patient safe and delivers the drug to the tumour. That it was she bangs on about, that it was thee posters say.

Where the excitement comes is from the logical conclusion that more drug in the tumour MUST result in better outcomes for the patient by a quicker destruction of the tumour and allowing more doses and or higher levels to expedite a "cure".

However I believe it is vastly more complicated than that.

The way we see success and the reason we bought the stock was for SP appreciation, but not any old appreciation but a multi-multi bagger return based on what looks to be achievable based on this breakthrough.

So some here (me included) look to that SP which everything hinges on from all our POV's, as the most obvious indicator to see what is most likely happeneing behind the scenes that we are not permitted to see or get up to date info on.

The argument that the SP does not matter (based on the market does not understand what is on offer), seems extremely weak to me. There is not a single shred of evidence that this is the case and is just an illogical excuse to justify a view that this is effectively done and it is only the official release of data in the future to confirm what some posters here KNOW is already happening.

What I think is that there are enough people who watch and know this technology (all BP, all investment managers who specialise in this area and potential game changers in areas of tech, as well as all the PR that AVCT do behind the scenes both here and the US for 5 years), to suggest it is more likely than not that the "market" is very aware of what is being attempted but to date are not convinced it is the slam dunk so many here not only assume, but will brook no other point of view.

There I think the SP does matter as the single most indicator we have to get a feel of where AVCT really are.

The SP, imo, will move substantially higher only when new news is released that actually confirms some consistency of better outcomes.

If that happy day arrives many here may say "I told you so". Ok, great but they didn't know, they simple took a risk without knowing all the facts and in spite of that, not because of it, effectively

"It’s a community of investors sharing research, ..." thats not all it is though is it ice?

You like to wind people up as you have admitted and at the same time criticised me for trading while doing the same yourself.

So as always you are partial with the truth and at the same a hypocrite. Takes all sorts.

Also where has all this shared research got you? has it moved the SP? has it allowed you not to buy in during ava6k? If you were not using charts the only time this went on a proper tear was just before AVA6k went from 4 doses to unexpectedly 7. Your "shared research" forecast that?

Keep the sanctimonious piety to yourself would you?

And how long watching, have you held this stock to get a 30% return?

(Thats a pretty good average too, given the limited time you have had to buy over the years to get to this average.)

Anyone want to try and explain what the difference between a LTH and a trader is?

Both want to make money, to acheiee this, they buy and sell the stock? so identical.

Traders typically will hold a stock for less time. They believe it is easier to make smaller gains more frequently tha the one off profit a LTH may ot may not make.

Traders (which seem to be portrayed only in a negative fashion here), on this particular stock have had more opportunity to profit from this stock than LTH's.

Given the aim is the same, why are traders seen to be clueless and lth's so virtuously pure?

Ha ha good one tim I am starting to get your repetitive non-jokes! Keep it up

When a share price goes up it is impossible to know if it is long term buyers or traders. To pretend that anyone knows what "type" of investor is buying or selling is clearly false. (maybe AB is Hurst?)

Anyway, i am not aware any time in the last 5 years when the stock has ever doubled on a day for instance.

The overwhelming share price movement history of this stock with all the RNS's interviews and data releases is relatively small moves.

Believing that there will be no chance to buy AVCt if/when THE rns drops is not proven to date.

(Plus traders are not likely to work on a 10% gain on this stock given the spreads so it is likely to beat a minimum 20-30%. Now, if anyone here thinks a 20-30% gain for a few days/weeks is a poor return then please do let me know what investments you have with theses short term returns.

As always, less hyperbole and a bit less emotion might lead to more reasonable discussion.

Well, poor old BV can't see my earlier post.

The joys of filtering and the cancel culture.

fwiw worth there are many many examples of the RSI going above 70 and the SP still rising. Too many for a position to be taken on. 80, however is much more reliable as over bought. and as of close of play yesterday it was 66 so no need to look at it until it has been updated at the end of play today before making a decisions of buy, sell or stick. (imo dyor etc)

"No. Just avoiding any positive bias to this news flow. Please share your thoughts"

Good luck

Very interesting chart.

The RS indicator is on 66 (not over bought, so room to go up if it wants),but has stalled at this high several times recently while the SP is at a 3 month high.

This is positive. the 12 month high is 82.75p so a 8% move will take avct into new, short term, high territory.

At the same time the stock has been very reluctant to push on to even attempt to move to 83p let alone above.

The recent mood music has been and is very positive and the RNS this morning continues this theme.

The expectation is (ie more often than not), if a stock has taken a long time to break a resistant level when it does it tends to move away from it very quickly, like a dam breaking. if all this pans out then 125p (give or take), as a target and making the 100p price irrelevant.

imo dyor etc

Safe, i am not "obsessed". My point that you ands others are so conveniently bypassing is that the same language was used on the then, ground breaking tech, and is being repeated now. When that language was used in the past the same type of posts today were written then too, and pretty much by the same posters.

A deal in the not too distant future has not materialised and I don't think it unfair to say that we all, based on that remark by CC, thought it would have been by now.

Some have put forward theories as to what has delayed this supposed deal, but it is only guesswork. So different CEO, same thing, so far.

Its not that much of a different company other than the diagnostics company has been sold off. Otherwise its always about the next 6-12 months, next trial, soon-to-be inflection points, any time now etc etc.

It is lazy (and inaccurate) to keep referring to my style of investing as to assume that I have an "agenda"

Lets be straight forward: If you say (falsely) I am posting these comments because I am short or I want the SP to fall, then every positive post must have by your logic, an agenda too, and that is because they want the SP to go up. So whats the difference?

However. I have only ever been completely out of this company for a few weeks and and i agree with you the news seems to be overwhelming positive so I am happy to build a position, but I can at the same time be aware that we have been here before and that it may be prudent to remind some so they don't carried away.

The cry always is "we are adults, we know what we are doing", well yes to the first part, but gambling is hugely addictive and is equally easy for it to get out of control.

To constantly read and post nothing but a company that will increase in value by 10-100 times fuels that destructive drug and at the same shout down and insult anyone who says, "hold on, we have been here before" to denigrate a perfectly reasonable counter, whether it turns out to be right or wrong is I think irresponsible.

Imagine if we were discussing legalising all class A drugs? What then? this BB would go on about the highs, ignore the lows and the destroyed lives and try and cancel anyone who said differently.

A gambling addiction is awful. Yes we invest to make money but historically it was left to brokers and we did not get involved. Now with the internet we can all play directly, but although some may have money in safer stocks and a reasonably diversified portfolio there are more I would guess both here and on many of the AIM companies on LSE that are chasing rainbows and betting more than they can actually afford to lose.

Thank you D.

Some posters get so hot under the collar with my posts and again, airbrush out their own grossly misjudged comments.

No rueful acknowledgement, no humble understanding that they don't in fact, have the foresight to make accurate forecasts. No apology to anyone here, no hands up they got it wrong.

But instead go after the few here that said perhaps something else might have been going on.

fwiw as I posted last week, this is imo the strongest investment position AVCT have been in for many years and at least by the end of the year we should know which way this company will go.

Chris, agin this is a straw man territory. Its nothing to do with the LFT.

Its all to do with data, RNS's interviews and all made many here delieiously happy with nailed on future wealth, and yet it came to nothing.

But you again, you simply want to ignore what this very did just a few short years ago.

As for the rest of you. I am a narciscist because I post a view, yet none of you are when you post?

Your hypocrisy is only overshadowed by your resorting to insults and a desire cancel any other view you disagree with. I would say it destroys your argument, but you offer no argument.

Chris, i was not mentioning trading. Why bring that up?

I was highlighting a clear example of positive bias and blaming the market for the low SP and based that observation on exactly the same background on previous AVCT tech that ultimately misled shareholders.

This does not mean this will go the same route but what will be will be and time only will reveal the result.

Put your money where you like, but it is this to me, insufferable arrogance of constantly dismissing any negative scenario while at the same time completely airbrushing history of the very same company that should at least make some cautious to what can happen.

AS was as bullish as you like and at the time most here loved it. proof positive that all was going well. Very emotive words that allowed for failure. Such as , very confident, expectations, should, could. All of those words allow for the opposite implied and therefore disappointment.

CC is different. apparently,. Maybe she is, maybe this really is it. There is no data yet, just lots of very positive expectation based on her emotive words and phrases.

All I am saying is and I will no doubt be insulted for it, simply highlighting that this is what all CEO's do in loss making companies. They talk up their own product and in this ultra competitive small bio pharma market place, the claims have to be very ground breaking to be heard.

The market simply expresses its reservation until it has more concrete data to go on.

Some think this is ridiculous, others thing it is entirely reasonable.

Thanks B2, you have passed the test and you are now my secretary,

(PS I think you will find every single post here by anyone and everyone is a waste of time. of course we could get into a philosophical discussion on what time is and what constitutes a waste of it or not? Based on your posting history, to save you some time I think you will find its your and your opinion only that matters to you as opposed to any open minded debate)

Well, kipper, not understanding the point you were trying to make I clicked on your posting history and didn't bother even going to page 2.

It woald appear your posting life on LSE revolves around hanging on the words and thoughts of others and then trying to be rude in reply, as opposed to any thoughtful views on the the stock or investment in general.

That is weird.

I have thought about this too, Touk, when you say "why can’t you conceive that many folk on here can afford the good things in life: nice homes, cars, holidays, good food? If we weren’t comfortably off we wouldn’t have spare cash to bet on Avacta. "

Many times if I have wasted my time here stupidly trying to justify myself to people who assume any display of implied wealth, where it be holidays, luxury material goods, even making money on trades, is assumed by some to be a fantasy, and yet as you correctly point out, you need a fair wedge of throw away money to invest in this company (and others), given the risk.

That money that can be afforded to be lost by the individual (usually) brings about a much more relaxed view to these BB's and is a reason I get so vexed as you again correctly call the spite or maybe envy of others. ("Spiteful: wanting to annoy, upset, or hurt another person, especially in a small way, because you feel angry towards them." )

It leads me to the conclusion that it is likely that these people in fact have very little invested in gross amounts (it may be a lot for their situation), and it is a combination that a large rise still won't be life changing and/or they are over committed and the fear colours their remarks?

I don't know but it is strange that any reference made to social activities are derided and made fun of and indeed scorned. Its as though they resent wealth but at the same time are doing everything they can to get it themselves.

Icecool didn't the FDA give us orphan status? what happened to that?

I seem to remember you were pretty excited about that all those years ago?

"... Wyn whos opinions change based on their trading positions at any one time."

Not really.

I change my view based on new info.

I use charts and TA to time exit and entry.

So not at all what AB inferred. But he likes to discredit anyone whos view he does not agree with

I have broadly read this stock correctly for years and it is because I defend myself against inaccurate views typically expressed by AB, that causes so much friction here.

As you can see, if Nurse Ratchet and the rest turn against you, then it becomes a very silly and immature BB where any attempt at reasonable differing views are reduced to playground attempts at bullying.

I imagine 141 that you have got all the info you need.

None of us know whats going to happen. We are all guessing and to one degree or another, are emotionally influenced.

This is a social media outlet and the very worst of characters inhabit it from time to time.

Reason and contrary views will not be tolerated.

Good luck

141, alderbaron makes a specious argument.

10p was never forecasted but when the SP was at an all time low (27p) and in free fall, there was a need for further funding and the data results were not clear which is why the SP had collapsed. As a result as some sort of bottom to the SP 10p was kicked around as a possibility. (the SP high when the AVA6k trial started was 185p for context).

However much water has passed under the bridge in the last 12-18 months and without doubt this is the strongest position as an investment AVCT have been in for quite some time.

The risk reward looks very good and that is amplified by the time element, in which I mean it should be (should be! how many times have I thought this!), very clear if this is to be the success it is increasingly looking to be, within the next 8-12 months.

I think its a bit dumb to double down on this "smile" thing.

This is exactly pretty much what AS did followed by a collapse in the SP.

I don't know how much more conviction you need by just looking/listening to the recent CC interview. To then decide to "read" a potential facial expression to infer new info, is as i say, fraught with risk that long termers here no only too well how it backfired.