Member Info for TrekMadone

Oldapache,

Can’t be that as naked shorting is illegal, in EU, here and US following the GFC.

Folk buy, folk sell, folk trade.

Let’s face it the next phase of transformational news is ahead of us. That needs to be banked successfully for price discovery to really take place.

Some are getting in early to maximise that as a trade or longer term play. Others may be derisking before the event.

It’s all opportunity!

Once the investors & punters overtake the deriskers the price will move up.

Just coz that doesn’t align with our perceptions doesn’t mean to say it’s wrong.

Usual caveats

Trek

Here’s hoping you are blue tro!

Trek

While drilling Cas 4 & 5 I think PB will be sounding out a renegotiation for the domestic contract pricing. Once he has CB up his sleeve that will give leverage about where the drill goes next.

If they get good terms for debt would like to see them commission another rig. I know he said no dilution for the CB deal but I honestly wouldn’t rule out a small placing for another drill.

PB has always maintained debt for capex but equity for expo.

Having such a huge geo to explore they may change from concurrent drilling to tandem especially if CB offers low hanging fruit.

Usual caveats

Trek

I would have added on that drop this morning but everything else is going up as well atm and have utilised my trading pot.

The buy signal for me at -28p was it felt overdone and with Dow futures up ahead of Fed meeting it kinda made sense that Dec would bounce.

Anyways happy with what I got here.

Put all the trading pot into HEX at 14’s having sold the majority in the high 20’s from 10p.

That one is due a run back up ahead of news, lots due in April. Will ride the wave and sell in tranches ahead of news and some on news just keeping a core position.

Just thought I’d share again with GG as he missed the last tip at 10p and it went to 29p! Hubris eh!

Never know may have some profits to add back here!

GL

Usual caveats

Trek

MNG tro,

Two camps - one profit taking ahead of the big xd. Can then prob buy back.

Wondering if I should have sold at 230 but decided to hold. My av 202 so gotta a cushion and want ‘easy income’ if I can!

Other is new money on new guidance. Prob some of that US money looking for income.

Usual caveats

Trek

Ur under arrest! Well they tried1

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/mar/18/green-activists-try-to-make-citizens-arrests-of-thames-water-executives?utm_term=67da81ea4b8393fc2d0c38b9cce2a942&utm_campaign=BusinessToday&utm_source=esp&utm_medium=Email&CMP=bustoday_email

Now that would set an interesting precedent!

Trek

Such a shame that all the good has been stopped because of the actions of a few and the decision of two!

https://www.aljazeera.com/program/the-stream/2025/3/18/usaid-cuts-immediate-and-devastating?traffic_source=rss

Trek

HFEL is my pick for that geo tro… yield +11% quarterly as well.

Got Asian banks and infrastructure so divi has gone up every year. Look at chart it’s as near as the 3, 5 and 10 year lows.

Could move up soon on Wall Street rotation

https://www.hl.co.uk/shares/shares-search-results/h/henderson-far-east-income-ltd-ord-npv

Usual caveats

Trek

Gravis crossed above 5% now

Trek

Tro,

‘ looks like,the money man are moving back,over here.’

A survey of professional investors sees the biggest switch out of US stocks in its history, highlighting the popularity of the UK and Europe.

https://www.ii.co.uk/analysis-commentary/trump-dump-biggest-rotation-out-us-stocks-ever-ii534703?utm_source=sfmc&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=DailyNewsletterCanviOneCol+-+iicommunity&utm_id=254077&sfmc_id=4609723

I am positioned accordingly!

My pf is as near as all blue now bar my new TXP buys & MDH which is unique due to spread atm.

All the IT’s are blue! About time!

Even TW seems well timed!

Trek

I just added 22k. Had to slice another stock to fund but I think this is well overdue a run now.

Possibly a bit of cash on the sidelines coming in for the CB deal which will imo transform the options available for TXP as well as scale.

Trek

Well I thought there should be a positive reaction and also earlier said that the banks would have had a heads up on results ahead of the Mav deal.

But did I expect this reaction - not on your Nelly wow!

Well you again now on DEC !

Hope a few others followed my trades!

Played like a fiddle and my PHNX today!

GLA

Trek

Added TW. At the bell today.

Bit of charting and it’s xd is due 27/03/25 @ 4.66p

So looking at chart it’s on its bottom near az….

My theory is it will move up to 118-120 before xd. Then will give up gains on xd. It’s a stock I don’t mind holding so can trade around the divi.

Also no cuts expected so poss macro upside from any easing and planning red tap cuts.

Don’t see help to buy getting extended but that’s looking in price

So any good news should send it higher imo or if not I think 106 was bottom and 110 double bottom.

Let’s see

Usual caveats

Trek

I just saw hex pop 1.2p

If it pulls back I may flip more in there.

Defo feels like it’s off the bottom now!

Even if don’t get it spot on it will go to 16p soon imo and then move on news.

Trek

That’s why I like alternative energy and infrastructure + high yield.

The ones I have picked that have us presence don’t get subsidies e.g. SEIT.

And the infrastructure like SEQI is part of a pf which also has data centres.

I think trump will put pressure on Fed to cut rates. Damage is done tho!

That’s why I added HFEL - hammered by trump, gotta have most bad news in price now. Could bounce well.

Trump will imo follow Erdogan (Turkey) ignore inflation, cut rates anyway

PHNX up 7% now … heck!

Trek

Big bounce at SNX off 300p was called as was SAFE at 580 following the xd. Now back over 600p where there were big director buys!

Sold last of my pxc today …. Could get ugly … too risky now news well overdue imo. One for the brave!

But was another nice bouncer from the 3’s!

Usual caveats

Trek

I added MFAi again tro,

Gonna get a load of cash soon - of course they won’t do a special divi though. Where’s the pride in that!

Will likely sell again into the next rise and repeat!

Trek

Bought mine back today… surely +2m in cash can’t be ignored!

Trek

I hold but that sp target from Barc seems rampy to me. Nav is 93p why should this suddenly move back to nav positive sp wise?

They even say that 3 rate cuts are factored in in their macro narrative today!

Whilst I see the sp rising due to the high yield v it’s historical average and it’s discount being 2% more that the recent 12month average I am not expecting much. Perhaps 80p but I am here for the inflation beating yield as part of a high yield pf!

Usual caveats

Trek

After the ONC scare where I used to hold. A great Co with 8 top Pharma’s on the books but suspended today citing liquidity as an issue. I decided to sell my last 25k here whilst in profit. It shows as a buy!

This has taken far too long now imo and any further impasse could result in a lengthy suspension. I escaped gcat by the skin of my teeth so am well aware that the risk of a suspension here is very real and imo more likely the longer it takes.

The bod missed numerous opportunities at +40p to raise cash, sell assets or an JV and imo now they could fail at 4p. They are negotiating from an asset only standpoint. They have no cash. Any dilution would be brutal at 40p and if it’s cash how do they pay the coupon and Riverfort with no revenues.

It would have to be some deal with accumulating interest in what is still a high interest and high inflation macro in the US.

The potential upside here for the brave is huge but imo its reached a point now where I would be happier to pay more to buy back in. Even 100% more as opposed to even loosing my last £1k here!

News by the end of the March. But what news!

Good luck!

Usual caveats

Trek