RE: g f i n23 Jan 2020 14:37
Hi guys, just back from a round of golf. Glad I didn’t check my email beforehand!
My first read of the financials
“Gfinity expects to report H1 revenue of circa £3.5 million, which is lower than the same period last year (H1 2019: £4.4m) primarily due to the transition away from low margin Elite Series revenues, as explained below..... OK 0.9M YOY LOSS...... Significant growth in higher margin revenue streams during H1 are expected to deliver a circa 300% increase in gross profit to £2.1 million (H1 2019: £0.5 million) .....ITS NOT CLEAR IF THIS IS H1 NET GAIN OR WE SEE THE 300% IN H2 ELSE THEYD HAVE BANKED IT, CONFUSING.......whilst continued cost discipline is expected to further reduce adjusted operating loss* for the period to £2.4 million (H1 2019: £4.4 million)”.....MY CONCERN HERE IS THAT THE COST SAVINGS ARE BASED ON WHAT THEY HAVE GIVEN UP IN H1 AND THE STRATEGY SHIFT IS NOT QUANTIFIABLE IN TERMS OF COSTS. THERE IS NO WAY I CAN GUAGE HOW IT NETS OUT.
I built a position here around the finals as I could see a clear path to profit. They have now changed that model again focusing on
“The Group continues to improve its revenue mix and margin as it shifts the profile of its work towards own community revenues, strategic programme consulting and higher margin content creation, which supplement the end-to-end esports programmes the Group continues to deliver for its major partners“
Yes sure there is money to be made there but it’s more labour intensive than say realsports101 (which didn’t even get a mention) and is not going to tap the billions of human beings like on line tournaments or a WhatsApp model. For all the hard hitters I can’t believe they haven’t delivered a partnership deal yet. A partner like MicroSoft or whoever would release potential in the business and provide the finance and governance that they clearly need. I have been for a while hoping that the website would be updated, I don’t play games but I am reasonably IT literate and it just doesn’t cry out spend your money here, look at the winners, prizes, role models etc.
I don’t think these results are lipstick on a pig, they just can’t decide what pig yet! This co may well go on to great things but it’s going to be a traders train set for a while so I’m gonna sit out, not for the first time but this time I may stay out unless I see a partner come on or some serious director buying, but I do appreciate that the pay is well tempered and not all execs have hundreds of K to burn. Still not a write off just some serious labour pains and gonna take a lot for me to think third time lucky.
GLA
Trek