RE: Tumbleweed6 Oct 2024 20:04
Hi broomtree,
Special dividend from outta the blue….ouch!
That would hurt!
Especially on the back of little buy liquidity!
That means they have to pay it as there is no liquidity to buy stock unless they want to pay silly sums for this so called ‘basket case stock’ lol!
It really isn’t looking good for shorts here.
Spin whatever narrative you like it’s easily debunked!
Oh then there is the chance ‘The straights’ close which would have a huge impact on LNG mobility and price…!
I am not relishing that for one moment, those things could go either way, and one always prefers peace and prosperity but the point is a leveraged position is not as liquid as a physical position in such unforeseen circumstances.
Yet some shorts are increasing. Fine. It’s not against trend. Oil hedges are currently in backwardation, that is longs are cheaper than spot atm (opposite is contango, not teaching to suck eggs).
My point is holders and buyers here are probably on the contrarian side.
But I appreciate it’s more complex than that as stronger POO is potentially inflationary (there are other factors) and that could impact on rates.
So for DEC it’s a complex net out between, demand, rates, SONIA, regulation, US jobs (pull) etc etc,
Flipping nightmare really!
But then the shorters ALGO have obviously simplied all of this to mean a lower SP whilst my view is more dynamic and yet I m well over 60% up trading here while the shorts keep paying for divi’s, paying to loan stock, paying pocket money. lol!
I still maintain £15 soon, never moved from that and sincerely hope all longs here go blue!
Bring it on!
Usual caveats
Trek