RE: $1.4 buyback, 4% increase in fixed dividend3 Aug 2021 16:30
I was thinking about this thread about buybacks on my walk with our dog today. The argument was presented earlier that buybacks reduce the supply of shares thereby increasing the price. But from my study of Microeconomics, the equilibrium price depends on the assumption of a rational marketplace; in particular the assumption of a 'rational consumer' who seeks to maximise his 'utility' or 'value'. It appears to me that this 'rationality' is not working in the short term and at a discounted forward P/E of around 8 (correct me please if wrong - second hand info from another poster), the 'consumer' or in this case the buyer of BP shares is not behaving rationally.
I take some comfort in Buffet's aphorism (paraphrased) ; ' in the short term, the market is a voting machine but in the long term it is a weighing machine'. The implication being that rationality will prevail and we will see a re-set of the share price based on the ongoing reduction of supply through buybacks....in the long term! Problem is, my long term is about a year!