RE: Why the drop?17 Jul 2025 12:35
The way that Wise works with their Fund Pools, with the increasing customers and transfer usage, it really shouldn't have this much effect on their margins. According to Wise's logic, they can decrease fees due to the pool size increasing which is essientially economies of scale, bigger pool = cost of transfer and FX differentials being lower which then Wise can pass on to customers via lower fees. Its liquidity efficiency and scalable infastructure where the benefits are being passed onto their users, which in my mind is a great long term business model. But in todays RNS, we see a margin tightening, they claim its front-loaded which I will tend to believe but the 25% rise in admin costs, the increasing lower-margin card-only customer %, and now claiming they see 13-16% margins instead of 22%. I see them cutting the fees in future as long as margin holds around that lower range, probably from 0.54 to 0.50.
Overall I see Wise a long term hold but some sustainability questions are arising about their fee cuts, even when they currently have the lowest fees in the market.