Gas higher for longer , Hedge funds betting on it ⬆️24 Feb 2025 15:51
With the United States, the European Union, Ukraine and Japan all needing to rebuild inventories faster-than-average over the summer of 2025 there will be fierce competition for gas over the eight months to October.
Energy-intensive industrial users in Europe and price-sensitive buyers in South and Southeast Asia are likely to be priced out
n the event of a persistent summer heatwave over North America, Northwest Europe, Northeast or South and Southeast Asia driving higher-than-normal airconditioning loads, the scramble for gas could become intense.
Anticipating tight supplies and a tough refill season, portfolio investors have alreadyamassed exceptionally large bullish positions in futures and options based on gas prices in both North America and Northwest Europe.
In North America, hedge funds and other money managers have accumulated a net long position equivalent to 2,975 billion cubic feet, the highest for more than three years and in the 91st percentile for all weeks since 2010.
Europe’s policymakers, facing another year of painfully high prices for households and industry, will be tempted to blame hedge funds and other speculators (as is always the case when prices escalate rapidly).
But the reality is that the global market will be much tighter this summer than it was in 2024 and 2023 and prices have to rise to restore balance
https://oilprice.com/Energy/Natural-Gas/Why-Gas-Prices-Have-Doubled-Over-the-Last-Year.html