RE: Exciting times25 Aug 2025 19:56
I once said that I wouldn't sell until Prem was worth £1b! Whilst, I'm bullish about the current prospects, some of the predictions of 1p are very optimistic... just can't see it from where we are now.
The reality is that Prem can't hold on to 100% of Zulu... unless there is some huge increase in the sp that allows Prem to raise enough funds to deal with the debt and persuade Canmax to extend the offtake agreement again! I think the best that Prem can do is to retain 49%... having said that, this has always been my preferred approach, i.e. get a major in as a senior partner. A major is more able to deliver increases in production and to exploit other areas in Zulu and other assets... and to do it quickly and efficiently.
The more likely outcome now, I believe, is that Zulu is bought outright and Glencore are in prime position. It would be great if others then wanted it as well and a bidding war ensued. For me, it's a real possibility that there will be more than one interested party.
FWIW, I very much doubt that the current state of the plant is going to be the major factor in determining the value of Zulu. A major will be more interested in how much lithium and tantalum (and other minerals) are in the ground. I suspect that they're all confident about getting the plant operating now without a huge investment. I think Snowking's valuation is in the right ballpark and I'd expect Glencore or whoever to move quickly.
On Snowking's re-appearance - on the one hand, this signals a real positive but I'm surprised that he's bold enough to show his face again. On the other, I have to be very clear though that his closeness to GR is a real issue for me. You can come to your own conclusion on whether he has benefitted from this relationship in the past. Perhaps, things have changed but I will take any contribution from him with a spade of salt even though I happen to agree on hos valuation!
Sp this week - 0.05p - 0.1p!