RE: Oversold on Friday11 Aug 2025 09:07
Yes, I think the last interview was an example of GR being back to his worst. He doesn't have the hands on experience of someone like GH and I do wonder if GH would've been better to answer the questions that we all have.
Having said that, I'm once again perplexed at why Prem are not taking advantage of the remaining headroom. It's a relatively small but significant amount which, I believe, wouldn't have much of an impact on the sp.
I've got a couple of thoughts on this -
1) Are Enprotec undertaking the commissioning at zero cost? We know that the approach that GR took with Stark and I wonder if Enprotec have taken a different approach, ie fix the plant without suffering reputational damage and being sued by Prem. The plant clearly was not fit for purpose and I'd be surprised if GR has not taken Enprotec to task as well.
2) With Canmax effectively holding the purse strings, they must be approving GR's approach here. I've long been of the view that Glencore will step in once GR steps away so is there already a deal in place which gives Prem confidence that the finances will be sorted out as and when Glencore step in. I don't hold the view that Glencore need Prem to prove that the plant works- it will be better for Prem and holders if they do but I reckon Glencore can see how much lithium is in the ground and that they know that there'll be a way of getting that lithium out of the ground. If spod prices do continue to rise, I expect Glencore to make their move.