RE: Week-end question29 Jan 2022 23:12
Welshy - I've got some sympathy with your post. Almost posted a very bearish, deja vu post during the week but decided not to because of the scramble for lith. I think you've set out why my strong preference now is a JV for Zulu with PREM as the junior partner... 10 months down the road and GR still only has one verified result. GR just does not have the wherewithal to get things done. Because of that I can't see anyone having the appetite to be a junior partner to GR either. Whether it's drilling or LIBS or picking the right lab to do results, he just can't deliver... simply can't understand why we're still waiting if the lab re-opened just after Christmas... what kind of deal did he do with SGS? He has a debilitating habit of doing things on the cheap!
Potential partners will know GR's history and I simply can't see them having any confidence in him running Zulu. They might even look to take Prem out altogether!
Having said that, I think he can get a higher rate per 1% of Zulu if he's also giving up control of Zulu... this might sound ridiculous considering where the sp is but I think GR should be looking for £150-200m for 51% of Zulu. He should return 80% of it to shareholders and use the remaining funds for the EPO area.
If he does any decent deal on Zulu, I think that we can see a bonus with the EPO area beginning to be factored in to the sp.
Yes, I'm pretty bearish about GR but I'm still very bullish about the value that we should get from Zulu. 1p could be hit on rumours of a deal. 1.5-2p on the announcement of a deal!
And "no" I've not been drinking!