RE: Spilt milk and cows2 May 2021 15:32
Antha: A few counter arguments….
Your points 1 to 3: I rely on recent RNSs, the presentation and Auctus pro-analysts. What you state is possible, but then so are the company/Analysts viewpoints. I can’t prove the SP will not go down to 0.25p-30p for the short-term, but you can’t prove it will not jump to 0.8p in a few weeks and soar thereafter based on news. Furthermore as a starter, SENX, as far as I am aware does not have the equivalent of Bahamas monetization assets. P/E ratios for oil / gas are approx 17x as a rule of thumb. If the $3m in free cash BPC is currently making was pure profit (which it is not), it could be argued BPC's Mcap could feasibly be $50m/£38m.
Your point 4 is I believe disingenuous. Firstly, The BoD IMO has nothing deserving of sacking on-masse. Would I give 10/10 and a gold star? No, not yet, however…
(a) The Percy-1 drill was not done by negligently wasting $140m with a random punt. The chances were against us from the beginning and LTHs took the risk eyes wide open.
(b) Furthermore, the LOL finance deal was because it had no choice under the circumstances of the perfect storm at the time.
(c) The drill went $10m over budget due to reasons beyond BoD control which is currently being negotiated.
And (d) One very positive thing the BoD did was the CERP merger, otherwise we would be in deep doo doo with little hope of light at the end of the tunnel other than Bahamas monetization.
Let’s say for hypothetical reasons we wanted to replace the BoD in future. You suggest doing so now by voting no at the EGM in some sort of protest. This would result in a total short/medium term collapse of the SP unless there was a plan B. It would also require a mutiny by a group of substantial shareholders, not lots of small disillusioned holders. I do not profess to being a big shot although I own more than 0.6% percent of the company, but I would NOT support such a move. Furthermore, who would take the lead to find a new BoD, assuming key competent persons could be found within weeks for the right price BPC could afford including hefty share options? I think not.
Without appearing to criticise as I respect your opinions although do not agree with your recent ones, I believe you lost substantial money on BPC recently, are upset, hence you want people to vote against the proposal in the EGM. If this happened, I believe it would be a grave mistake.
DYOR as these are just my opinions.
GL
Starchild
https://www.lse.co.uk/profiles/starchild/