RE: 5% valuation25 Jan 2022 20:56
I just do not understand this 5% situation on here, some think if not force it onto us as a more or less fact that there could be 10's of millions of oz so if NCM offer say £175m for the 5% that = about 1 £billion mc for 30% (25%+the money for the 5%) Is this not a low ball offer? Would they then think GGP have done a bad deal, does the RNS or was it SD not basically say that that 5% figure will be derived from whats actually known and also the future potential?
If this was the actual figure then how many oz = that £175m? If you use ProfQ's numbers then its about 6m oz which is far below what some think on here Hav could hold so then you have to ask whos more incorrect, the ones who assume far more gold, ProfQ's numbers or both? If its say 12m oz then thats about £300m for the 5% but again the 12m oz is still considered low in some peoples eyes?
So after all that (it makes sense in my head what I typed) if GGP accepted £175m or £300m for the 5% would some on here not think GGP got a bad deal due to how much gold they think is there? One main respected poster for instance has mentioned 20m oz if this is true so if GGP accepted £300m for the 5% this is surely a low ball offer so then you have to ask whos wrong? Obviously its the poster on here as GGP know and understand it far more than anyone on here.
Part reason I still dont own is because there is just so much contradictory info on here it makes it hard to know what to believe or who to listen to most, I try so hard to understand all the figures from the RNS's but it doesn't make it any easier. Will I buy in before the 5% is known? I'm not sure, if theres one thing I'm trying to do is not to jump in just to try to make a quick quid, dont buy if you are not sure is what has stopped me from getting in back when this was high teens, its still preventing me from buying now not because I think the sp could go lower (I have zero idea) but because I just dont understand the numbers enough! I wish I stuck in at school more!
P.S sorry for the long post, not even sure if it makes that much sense even after reading over it! Ah well nevermind its an opinion which we are all entitled to :)