RE: Centamin's Dividend Is Dead - Long Live The Line Of Credit19 Mar 2023 09:18
Cowichan thanks as ever, you are so informative and I appreciate your intelligent scepticism and questioning which is what makes this board so special, and for the link to Horgan's presentation; we are stuck with him whether we like it (some of us) or not (others) and the new policy of paying a lower dividend and ploughing profit back in the ground Doropo etc. For me the salient point of the presentation was that the dividend will be down next year yet again to 3-5c, and if gold maintains an average $1800, with costs and revenue same as this year the divi will be 4c, down another 20% and down 60% on last year with similar numbers before the changed policy. If pouring the money into the ground rather than to us comes off it will be good for very long term holders in a few year. However one of the reasons I loved Certain is it had one brilliant long term mine throwing off cash most of which came back to us (as long as dividend was not more than we made and so uncovered) whereas now the new policy will be min 30% of profit back to us. I can see however that it is much more fun for management, who are stakeholders too and rather important ones I imagine in their own eyes. So overall I am equivocal, the management seem to be producing solid and predictable results, controlling costs in this harsh environment and getting ounces back up, all of which I like, but they are spending the profit on gambling on the future (they would say investing) which most other miners do and I can invest in them with sounder gambles than Dorops which I wish they would sell; what was special for me about Centamin was it didn't do that and instead gave us jam today rather than promises tomorrow, which kept the share price up unsurprisingly..
Now a question about the financials, eps is down 25% to 6.29c yet revenue and profit are up, is this because there are more shares or why?
Finally I am glad I bought more on Fridays excessive drop on the new divi and investment strategy, I found my accountant had bought a near 6 figure sum last week, Horgan did the same, looking good IF gold keeps motoring