RE: MOU - offtake20 Mar 2025 17:27
I think comments are generally fair but there are simply too many moving parts to try and draw reasonable conclusions at this juncture.
My own view is there are seemingly numerous interested parties here but that there are certainly conflicts of interest to navigate for Bres which must be challenging. The project will also be in 3 phases hence different partners are intended to be introduced along the way such as the Chinese spg partner to offer operational expertise for Phase 3; which likely further complicates matters.
Stepping back from the noise for a second and trying to view this objectively, I would say the only way one does not make a healthy return from this level (£9m MC which is less than the DFS cost alone) is if the project is deemed to be commercially unviable and hence not suitable for funding; the chances of this, imo, is extremely minimal.
The barriers to entry in this space, from both a cost and time perspective, are significant and Bres is in a fantastic position to capitalise on this when some near term catalysts transpire. Is it possible that they will require some additional funds to bridge any DFC frozen payments ? - absolutely it is. Maybe we have just seen this week some forward selling into a 3p raise given the speed of the movement. Who knows.
Ultimately however we are talking fractions if the SP plays out how some, including myself, anticipate. Personally I already hold a reasonable position but must admit am right on the verge of going "All-in" now as the disconnect here to potential is one rarely seen in my experience. The stars are gradually aligning but there are just a few near term hurdles for Bres to clear which has clearly put pressure on the SP. Anyway, lets see where we are at end of year........