RE: SP on positive RNS - He 10%27 Jul 2021 13:00
First, there are lots of unknows:
1. Number of targets which are successful in each drill.
2. Concentration of gas in each target.
3. Size of each reservoir.
4. Price of Helium.
The de-risked price for all 4 drills is £1.33 on a concentration % of 4.2.
Assuming that all 4 drill are successful at the estimated reservoir sizes (big call), then if the concentration is 8.4%, the de-risked price would be £2.66.
Then, factor in that HE1 have used a conservative price for HE, and £2.66 could be broken easily.
That does not factor in the expectation of future successful drills, not the huge unexplored areas.
Nor does it factor in the fact the the reservoirs could be 'recharging'.
So, giving anyone a SP is pure guesswork unless you know then answers to some of the above.