RE: For wyn17 Nov 2021 17:58
@Legalwolf
As an investor (and still holding ) HE1 shares, I do find this constant comparison between the 2 quite odd. They are both drilling (HE1 was exploration, ADV is proving the reservoir). They are completely different but that is also reflected in the potential upside.
If HE1 had struck HE then the SP gains would have been huge. If ADV prove the resource and get into production, the valuation is 12.6p (yes, I know that oil is higher but I’m choosing to ignore that as that is dependant upon the oil price when they start production). So, it’s roughly a 3 bagger.
For HE1, the de-risked value was £1.33 compared a SP of say 10p.
Yes, there are other opportunities for ADV but they aren’t included, same as other areas which HE1 could explore aren’t included. Also, the price for HE used in the Hannam document was very conservative and would have been higher.
So, if you want to compare the COS success, you need to balance that with the upside, otherwise it’s very selective to suit a certain narrative.
I knew the risks in HE1 and still think they will make a discovery. Also, I’ve been informed from 2 different, unconnected sources that they were certain that Tai-1 was a discovery but the wireline failed so they couldn’t test it. The anecdotal evidence was clear though.
Can we just stop the comparisons as it’s pointless - all I care about here is ADV and making some money with this haha.