RE: valued at 27.46p a share29 Jul 2021 12:25
Valuation: Eyeing 43.84c (31.72p) per share plus
On a like-for-like basis, our forecasts and core valuation of PAF have risen a modest 1.5% to 38.76c/share based on the production update. However, the valuation stands to rise by an additional 13.1%, to 43.84c/share, in the event of the successful development of Mintails/Mogale and the 8 Shaft decline 24 Level project (see Exhibit 6). To this must then be added the value of c 19.2m underground Witwatersrand ounces, which we estimate could lie anywhere in the range of 0.22–5.24c to take the total to 44.06–49.08c/share. Alternatively, if PAF’s historical average price to normalised EPS ratio of 9.1x in the period FY10–20 is applied to our FY21 and FY22 forecasts, it implies a share price of 27.9p in FY21 followed by 34.0p in FY22.