RE: Future14 Jul 2021 10:15
posted by someone on another board...
Industry outlook
Based on its currently producing assets, we value PAF at 38.19c (27.46p) per share plus the value of 19.2m underground Witwatersrand ounces (estimated 0.22-5.24c/share). Near-term development opportunities include Egoli (ZAR2.01bn NPV and 50.1% IRR), the Evander 8 Shaft Phase 1 (ZAR126.1m NPV) & 2 projects, Mintails’ assets (533koz over 12yrs at US$800/oz AISC), the Prince Consort shaft pillar, the Fairview sub-vertical shaft (7–10koz pa) and the Royal Sheba project (c 30koz pa). NB PAF’s mining rights at Barberton were recently renewed for a period of 30 years.
Last updated on 05/07/2021
Investment summary
Pan African (PAF) produced a forecast beating 179.6koz gold in FY20, resulting in net debt declining by 52.6% in H220 alone to just US$62.0m and allowing it to increase its dividend more than five-fold so that it is among the top 20 yielding precious metals companies, globally. Since then, EPS has almost doubled again to 2.11c/share in a record H121 after production of 98.4koz (cf updated and increased FY21 guidance of 195koz).