Member Info for Scampthedog

The goose has gone now...and thus the sun slowly sinks from view...to be replaced by a darkening veil of thin cloud...and just the faint whisperings of bleached grasses and dried leaves softly rustling in the night breeze..... .... ..... .... .... .... .... .... ... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... honk............................................................................................................

I do not think there will be any prominent voicing for a call to mobilize support for the possibility of balloting for strike action in the very near future, StYd. Any disgruntlement that might surface among the rank and file of the posties (we are talking "processing" here not "delivery") will not occur until sometime in October...and perhaps, hopefully, not at all; October is when the Royal Mail may well look at bringing in changes to the hours of the various shifts...it is not yet fully known just how much widespread support from off the floor there might be for these changes; also, remember: Christmas is vitally important for the turnover of Royal Mail...historically, because of the impact of massive disruption, this is when the CWU tends to attempt to apply pressure. Let us all most fervently pray not.

At the risk of sounding a little "pessimistic" I would, at this present moment, just mention that 2.15 is being rather tested. If it does not hold then most certainly a slight readjustment downwards might be inevitable. But 175? Greatly surprised if it does.

Does this not apply to the shares that are being purchased once a month for all of the posties in the "Partnership and Matching Plan", StYd? Under normal circumstances any company that buys back its own shares is doing the shareholders a big favour...the news is always warmly received for all the obvious reasons.

Why apologize? You called it right last time...you may well do so again -- I could not care less either way! One last top up for me tomorrow...rightly or wrongly. I won't be buying any more then...unless of course the price drops down to 2.00 a share. Good luck with your bet, Son...there are plenty who think you will need it. Cheers!

Proactive investors - quote: "Royal Mail sends brief but comforting missive from Exeter". Hardly excellent news -- but certainly better than bad news! I think this could justifiably be taken as a rather positive sigh at the very least. Hhmmm...seems to be a little support at 2.15. Let us all hope so!

I understand entirely of what you suggest, Fruitster; I am just making the point that even if it takes three short months for the s.p to climb back up to...perhaps say 2.50 -- then why not buy in right now? I still think for the share price to be back up around there in three months time then the October figures would have to be pretty good. I would certainly like you to be right of course - cheers!!

I would have to agree with you, somewhat, concerning your suggestion regarding the AGM...and would not necessarily disagree with much of everything else you say; I would point out though that surely if the wider market thought there was a decent chance of the s.p improving quite markedly then why not buy in now...especially with the added bonus of the 15p dividend attached to it? Worth considering.

250 - 280 over the next couple of months?! I would like to think so, Fruitster. But why would you think the s.p would keep on rising as much as that after the dividend gets settled next week? Would you not expect a drop in the s.p? And why, if this indeed turns out to be the case, has not the s.p opened at a far higher price than it has?

Just one small detail that you forget to mention, RoyAIMail: all the massive borrowing taken on by RMG to actually finance this massive restructuring. I mean where do you think that money came from in the first place? From under the floorboards? The little piggy box perhaps? Give us a break. In fact, we are lucky we are still getting a dividend of any sort...and that could well all change in the near future; after all there is no guarantee whatsoever that the projected dividend of 15 pence can actually be fully maintained in the coming years. No! This is not a short term fix. Like it or not, as an investor...you are in it for the long term.

Honk, honk, honk. Look, dad, is it a plane?! Is it superman?! Is it a guided missile?! Errrr...nooo, son...nooooooo. Its just a tired old goose doing what all creatures of his ilk do this time of year. Whats that, dad. Limp off south for the winter, son...limp off south for the winter. Going to be a bleedin long one this year an all, son...a bleedin long one.

Not much has changed for Royal Mail from a year ago when the s.p was £5.00 a share? Have you been asleep for the past several months, R0yAIMail...or are you just full of those "happy" pills? Not much has changed??!! What about the massive restructuring costing an estimated 1.8 billion pounds over the next five years...not forgetting of course Royal Mail have already invested several billion in modernizing since privatization began. Or has all that just somehow missed your attention? Things not changed much? My fat a*se!!!

I am surprised this company is still trading...can't have much left in available funds now. I mean -- how long does it envision it might have to further wait for the permit? And how long are the directors going to wait whilst wavering any monies owed them - forever? This have gotten past being ridiculous, past even being farcical -- it is beyond all bl**dy belief!!!!

Correct, Ajok...this is just a money making machine for the directors not the share holders -- and never will be again!! Not unless they quickly obtain some desperately much need business savvy...but, errrrr, don't hold your breathe on that one. Lol.

Ahhh...sunset. And slowly but surely, with the diminishing and still smoldering red rays of the setting sun licking at its feathered rump, the old goose lumbers into the far, far distance...to slowly disappear in a last glorious spill of fading colour! Still determinedly making south by the way.

Many thanks, ARSENAL17. At least there does appear, in your good self, to be one other person here who have their feet firmly planted on the ground regarding Royal Mail...and I strongly agree with your sentiment expressed. The Royal Mail posties are facing massive change...whether they like it or not. And if not? Then they will be undertaking a war they cannot possibly win...not without massive job losses that is. Time for change...whatever the CWU thinks. Cheers!

Fruitster, me old fruit, what on earth has your statement got to do with the former valuation, pre-float, of the Royal Mail? You are not just talking "after-the-fact", thats also like saying: "yes of course...but land prices have gone up considerably in the last 6 years or so". That is just stating the blindingly obvious. The point is: JP Morgan got it completely wrong!!! End of.

Falkland, I believe I was the first to congratulate you openly on this board regarding your former success. However to repeatedly state a forthcoming s.p of 175 without offering any persuasive argument is getting all rather tedious. If you can give us good, solid reasons for your contentions then you may well be received with a little more tentative consideration. I can well imagine the share price falling back down under 210 once the dividend has been settled...but why 175? What explanation(s) can you offer to support this claim?

Firstly, ARSENAL17, is quite correct in his assertion concerning Royal Mail: no, it could not have survived all these long years without vast amounts of public money; point being --it was never intended too! Even when Henry VIII first conceived the idea of a national mail courier it was not intended to make a profit. He, Henry, was a very able administrator and understood the necessity for a national network to speedily deliver and improve upon all aspects of daily commerce; this in turn created more revenues ...and thus, more money for the kings coffers - lovely!! As for JP Morgans former contention regarding Royal mails true flotation value: obviously -- plain wrong!!! Again, I have stated, on here, all this before. In the Royal Mail, and this is the one same mistake a lot of people make, you are not dealing with any "normal", "run-of-the-mill" company: THIS WAS NOT CONCEIVED AS A PROFIT MAKING ENTITY!!!! Get the point folks? Why would any person think that a massive, sprawling, nationalized company heavily subsidized by public taxation can suddenly, in several short years, turnaround and start making masses of profit? Totally unreasonable. And anyone who thinks that investing in the Royal Mail is going to give them mountains of cash over the next several years is also totally unreasonable -- and also totally stupid!!!

An informative piece of retrospective reporting, Gotrader; it offers an explaination at the very least...and, for one, much appreciated by myself. At least we can all look forward to the increasing demand for 5G; it is starting to gather momentum now...albeit, rather slowly: the networks are gradually establishing themselves and starting to advertise the fact -- good news for all IQE holders! Cheers!