Member Info for Savage_KeyboardR

AimMaster2018 - cheers for sharing your viewpoint there, I agree fwiw. The budget day itself might possibly fair okay. Though I think the static situation will quickly give way to drops, as the gravity of the £2.7trillion UK debt situation, and what that means for the nation sinks in for the masses. Repairing the damage the Tories did will take a long time, it was never going to be a rapid fix.

DYOR - IMO

MarcusExile - Again, you appear to have forgotten to state your closing SP 🤷‍♂️

Feel free to submit your forecast on here - just for fun of course...

I understand it can be frustrating if the market doesn't go your way, possibly you're sat on big losses? However, I don't control the market nor the SP 😎

MarcusExile - your forgot to state your closing SP

So the brokers put out a sky high target, draw in the PI's with a carrot... they then sell & short the stock, leaving the PI's licking their wounds...

$50 oil incoming - triggering consumers furiously demanding cheaper ticket pricing to be passed on - with forward capacity on the rise, and consumers willing to cut back if their demands for cheaper tickets are unmet... IMO it sets the stage for an epic battle of attrition between service providers and their customers... Hence sub 400p soon IMO - DYOR

Submit your forecasts on here - just for fun of course

£2.94p - IMO - DYOR

It's always a conspiracy when the SP drops right?!

IMO this was always going to fall as the results, whilst good, are reflective of the past performance; and for a while now this stock has appeared to be priced on the forward risks of economic stagnation (Germany has again stagnated, UK about to embark on punishing tax hikes, which appear bound to drag on leisure/travel spending).

Then there's oil which is falling sharply from prior highs; Trump with his 'drill baby drill' approach appears likely to amplify customer demand for lower ticket pricing - the high ticket prices have so far been helpful for EZJ in terms of contributing towards it's large revenues and I imagine that'll dry up fairly rapidly. Should airliners generally drag their heels when it comes to passing down savings then I'd imagine customers will dig in via lower booking figures down the line.

Many on here have seen EZJ as a straightforward speculative punt - How long till many of those over leveraged begin to panic about being over exposed to the very real threat (IMO) of sub £4 a share here?

DYOR

Spoiler - It won't ;-)

IMO - DYOR

German GDP unchanged July-Sept - Unlikely to be good news for VOD here.

DYOR - IMO

I recognise these showing short position reductions, and the fact Blackrock are both LTH & short simultaneously - which many of the big investors do from time to time to manage their overall risk level...

However, I'm not so convinced this yet signals the end of this recent saga of low SP pricing here. I think it's entirely possible short traders go in for another bout & again attempt taking this stock to below the 134p low. I'm prepared for them possibly moving to try taking this right down to 119p. I think it's very possible this UK budget goes down like a lead balloon; in pleasing no one large group of ppl Reeves risks instability - due to her apparent ideological reluctance, when it comes to doing the difficult thing, and just going ahead with imposing a hefty wealth tax (in the absence of any real growth it's what is currently necessary - as she's boxed in and cannot shift the dial without directly taking from the super wealthy and redistributing that cash out & into the hands of the other 99%). If Reeves fails to bite the bullet then a raft of tax rises looks set to be a major drag on growth, the 1% will remain hoarding the national cash pile, and the other 99% will remain unable to spend with vigour and meaningfully support real terms economic growth. I don't doubt the markets will have confidence she can balance the books but I do doubt the markets will believe she can so again in 2027/8+9 without triggering mass dissent and possibly a call for her go, and for the PM to call a GE.

As I said before, I still think SSPG itself is doing well - but even great businesses can be negatively impacted by widespread market storms and I don't think the storm has passed yet. Very possibly we're just in the 'eye of the storm' today?!

DYOR - IMO

82.4p plz

To spread those payments out, into the future in which the revenues are even lower Trisor?

HS - if everything's up like you say then why is CPI down, again? 🤷‍♂️

I dont think we'll be seeing a sudden rally at the minute in either USA or European markets. Still plenty of macro turbulence, a whole heap of debt out there, elevated rates (in USA & UK anyway), and the raft of US tariffs serving to dampen trade (a drag on growth).

Meanwhile the hype over AI, Crypto + some core commodities e.g. gold appear to be acting to reduce the general levels of investing into the rest of the real economy.

Wildcat_Driver - For the last and final time - I have no investment interest in CPI, and that is either short, long or options.

I am invested in other stocks though and I'm always on the lookout for new investments for where to place my cash into. Correct, I never short stocks - I simply don't have deep enough pockets to take on such risks.

The fact you do not believe me is 1. your problem and 2. is not my problem

My only motive, is testing how my interpretation of their financials stacks up against the emerging reality for CPI. It really is that simple.

Incorrect nonsense from Wildcat_Driver - I've repeatedly explained why I continue to post on here beforehand.

Yes, I am not invested in CPI - I have never shorted it either. I've also never worked for CPI or any connected business either.

I'm a private investor, I considered investing into CPI a long while back however, on examining the financials I had concerns which I aired on here - many told me 'don't worry this is a dead cert multi-bagger'... Instead I gave this stock a wide berth, and when I shared my views many ridiculed me.

Since then my prediction £2.4bn revenues for FY2024 was pretty much right on the mark.

Some claiming this will be £25 a share - what nonsense! Barely holding onto £3.15 LOL!

Why all the 'suspicion' about a few particular trades? They're just off-book ones according to LSE, link here - the trades can be seen if you scroll right down to the bottom part of the page: https://www.londonstockexchange.com/stock/CPI/capita-plc/company-page

Surely if any given investor would like to profit from AI tech sector, they'd be better directly investing into NVIDIA itself, Alphabet or one of the other big AI corps... than they'd be putting their investment cash into CPI?

I.e. Just because AI is still booming, it doesn't mean CPI will experience the 'trickle down' benefits/proceeds 🤷‍♂️ (esp. Given it has far too many staff selling far too few contracts)

DYOR - IMO

Do you reckon NVIDIA will miss their forecasted target earnings & revenues Aim?