Member Info for rogthegamer

Yes Starsalign I purchased in March @226, a Few before the new tax year to balance a portfolio. I sold far too many on my retirement @ 223. and as a ‘gamer’ I do enjoy the thrill of following this company’s / this regions volatile situations. You might have also noticed my first recorded buy into this stock following the original pipeline closure @ 160 / 140s and posts here stating major (for me) buys @ 89 / 95 . Also topping up @ 130s & 140s

As my old dad said “money is (was) made round to go around “ besides 226 will look good very soon. That said do Not expect oil prices to remain high in 2027 / 2028 when world wide oil production will ( wars apart) be Far too high in a declining market. This current situation has been a wake up call for Asian nations that are far too dependant on oil.

Today 200 ish. is a steal but Not in the long term.

Sorry but I can’t resist the opportunity to say. “ I told you so.” Again!

I’m back on hold, if only because I took my own advice published here and bought as many as I could afford on Tuesday / Wednesday.

That said, if this is re-start is real and continues for a while with oil prices staying as high as expected, the dividends alone will be huge. Which could take GKP towards £3 +

Well done all that have had the balls to stick with this.

Rudaw have reported that 11 international / Kurdistan oil companies sent representatives including ‘Coggins’ ’ to a meeting today with Iraq’s new prime minister seeking security guarantees, + ? in order to re-start production.

Separately the oil ministry have reported that they would like to dramatically increase pipeline export volumes via Turkey.

With the current stalemate ceasefire, U S / Iran, dragging on and Ukraine blasting Putin’s oil infrastructure the oil price will remain high in the medium term, when the market acknowledges this GKPs shares will ( I hope ) ruse significantly. Buy

‘Another week has gone by’ since I last mentioned my displeasure regarding the absence of a reason why GKP have not resumed oil production. The least that we should expect is that reason. The reason why other companies, now B P included, are resuming production, one of them being American that has been directly targeted in the past, whereas G K P have not.

This uncertainty regarding an obvious opportunity to make huge profits on the owner’s behalf ( us the share holders ) is resulting in a lower share price than otherwise it would be. Fortunately the Iraqis gave bowed to U S pressure and appointed a moderate, by their standards, new P M. It does seem that he is being told, by the U S to control the Iranian supporting militias that are still firing at Kurdistan.

All if the above bodes well for the medium term prospects of GKPs growing production and sales at very high oil prices while the world restocks.

I for one am never weak in a prediction. Buy G K P. (It’s a no brainier) Sadly as an elderly person who has no desire to be asset rich in a graveyard i will need to sell some soon. Shares purchased on a past occasion when i recommended a buy @ 89 / 95 p here, it;s still on the record folks. How about that itsaprick ? Whose wrong again

I must admit that my forecast that, as soon as a ceasefire is in effect GKP will resume production at far higher world market prices, was premature.

I now wonder why GKP has not resumed production or made a statement giving the reasons why.

However, the B P announcement is positive in that direction.

Buy

I’m given to understand that the amount paid to Halifax share dealing on behalf of GKP had what hey call ‘ a discrepancy’ resulting in a delay of up to 10 days before the payment can be made.

I must admit I did believe that production would resume immediately alongside a ceasefire. Production ceased as a precautionary measure when the missiles were flying. Now with a reluctant peace agreement in sight i still can’t see a reason why GKPs oil isn’t on sale at very good prices by comparison with the prewar price in the 60s per barrel. However, patience because oil prices will remain relatively high for some considerable time. Time enough to profit Buy

I do believe that the gas field that’s U S owed, and has already been attacked twice, has restarted production. That being so and considering the lure of money @ 100 + I’m sure the very wealthy leaders of Kurdistan are applying some pressure and no doubt extra security on the ground. We shall see, by the way Putup my prediction is still here on record. Now I’m on record again ( before) to say buy @ 200 or so. We shall see again because I also said that I believe this is the end of a long long dispute as Iran are running out of options with no oil sales.

As I predicted here the war will reach a stage where the shooting stops and GKPs production resumes alongside high oil price. That can only be positive. Now with Trump blocking Iran’s oil sales the price of oil Will stay high for longer than I believed it would. On the last occasion that GKP’s oil sold for more than 100 they paid special dividends. Kurdistan paid back payments and our shares peaked @320 . It’s not rocket science Buy up to 200 p

As an experienced (old ) person who’s already secured his retirement funds it’s easier for me than most to take a chance with money that I can’t take to a cemetery. Therefore my advice won’t suit those that are supporting families or are living on vital resources. That said my children wouldn’t want me to be too reckless, hence my Hold position on a ‘Buy’ stock that I believe will rise in price in the near future, my target being 321 or so, a penny or so above the high that followed the outbreak of the war in the Ukraine. However, Had I not been a little cautious on this occasion I’d bet a house on this opportunity.

One of the following situations could occur. 1) The current threats being passed back and forth are posturing in advance of a ceasefire, let’s say 30 days while face saving talks take place, during this time, and maybe for some time thereafter following agreements, GKP restarts production with a high albeit sub 100 oil price. The scenario Most likely in my opinion Target 321p . ( perhaps more depending upon the agreement, plus a bid premium to 370 or a bid @ + 500. ) the reason why the shares have not fallen in line with Itsatwits dream scenario. Ie “I’m right and I told you so. (95 times !)

2) Trump decides that sending troops in on the ground is too risky without first inflicting far more damage on Iran’s conventional forces., where do they hide those one million men? Men who are the relatives of ordinary people, some hung and murdered on the streets by their officers, will they fight for those same officers or flee in disarray? That alongside a blockade of Iranian oil exports. Ie. The war continues until Iran’s physical ability to fire drones and. fight back has been demolished. That Plus Iraq’s leaders are given no choice by force of unopposed AirPower other than to stop their own ‘friends,’ the Iranian supporting groups in Iraq, from attacking Kurdistan. Ie. Money talks and both Iraq and Kurdistan need exports via Turkey. GKP etc will then be expected to contribute oil. Share price climbs above 250 alongside a 2nd interim dividend, 8p ? In May Another reason why its got it wrong 96 times.

3) Unlikely but it could happen. The situation becomes extremely unpleasant as the risk factors increase far too much because Iran are now threatening to develop or “ acquire” nuclear weapons, including ‘dirty’ bombs. In that event, and no matter what Trump might say, Isreal will NOT allow it. !!! They know that there are those in Iran that would die alongside millions of innocent children for the so called glory they will receive in ‘fools paradise’ should they find the chance to wipe Isreal and every single Jew off the map. God help them because Israel will respond first because this war is viewed in Israel as being a chance to survive longer in a region whethey are Not popular to say the least. Will that happen, never say never, but I hope not for my children's sake.

Hold. Or as I said before; Buy if you’ve got t

Senator thanks for your reasoned reply. Some good points. We shall see how this pans out in the very near future. But I’ll make money for sure because GKP will be in a position to profit before too long.

Thanks for the invite. This will be the first time that I’ve left an airport in the Middle East, but the low cost of the flights verses very expensive directly was too tempting as a family break within two 6+ hour flights. However I’ll stick with the anonymous nature of the forum thanks.

Apologies Senator Re. personal ‘Insults ‘ on this investment forum. I lumped you together with C**keyed comments, because you spout the same anti west rhetoric. Apparently “ more accurate than Belgrano and Rog who are ill-informed “ So we are “talking through our investments”. Are we ? Well of course I do. This is an investment forum !!! Therefore with regards to a war that is stupid to say the least on all sides. I simply analyse the known facts in regards to how they affect the value of my investments. In this case one that is In Kurdistan. Then I publish some points here during quiet moments.

As for assuming I don’t know about the political situation in this region. I do not invest my money in places that I do not research very thoroughly. The reason why I’ve just retired from the living I made solely from equity investments since 1981. The reason why I spend U K winters in the warm tropics and spring in London when it’s too hot here. As mentioned previously flying via the gulf and including a bargain hotel stop over in Dubai. Life’s a gamble for those that live without fear. To do is to dare as we say where I come from in London.

‘Rog the Gamer’ for a reason. Putinites your on the evil side.

Together because the both of you seem to believe that this is a place for comments that don’t focus on GKPs prospects but are repeating propaganda in support of the Iranian religious leaders that slaughter their own citizens in support of their own evil agendas in the region.

Senator ( from an ordinary Mr. ) “Last night a hotel in Erbil said to be housing U S forces was attracted by a drone “ One of the devilish events that you seem so pleased to report.. However, No reports of U S casualties. BUT the hotel was no doubt the place of vital employment for several ordinary Kurds that need to support families. Were any murdered ? Iraq so often claims that Kurdistan is a part of Iraq ( therefore Kurds are Iraq’s citizens, ) so why do they ( according to you my lord, ) deserve punishment from their own government backed forces that supports Iran against their own citizens ? That stupid religious mentality is why Iraq’s ordinary people are poor and ordinary Iranian citizens are so sadly oppressed ( murdered by their own leaders )

What you claim to know about fleeing US forces is based upon what facts. It is propaganda. The fact is that several leaders of the Iranian supporting factions in Iraq have recently been killed by U S air strikes that are unopposed. Strikes delivered as warnings to Iraq that have been heard and can’t be ignored because they can easily be repeated ten fold at one moments notice in a region where the U S and Israel have total control of the sky.

Yes the Iranians can hit oil refineries and hotels / civilian airports, city centres etc. yes they can attack oil tankers that pass their shores. Yes Trump is frightened of that and yes frighted of Saudi Arabia being attacked and dragged Into a Muslim against Muslim war. But Iran have limited arsenals of weapons that are being degraded day by day. And Iran can’t defend their own oil infrastructure ( island / shores ) against the large ground force being assembled right now by the U S . However the one thing that you Putinites are most frightened of in Iran is the fact that the Iranian people hate their own leaders, hence the need to shoot and hang them if they dare to demonstrate. You’d certainly by hanged if the U K acted in the manner of Iran. History tells us that unpopular despotic leaders always fall.

Now as this is an investment forum why don’t you spout your Putin propaganda elsewhere. Leave this space for investors that wish to comment upon the prospects of GKP .

Lastly written history here clearly shows that my record regarding predictions of GKPs share price movements have been generally accurate, buy / hold

And Sell at the top of the market pipeline opening and repurchase recently @173. Not predictions that were claimed as a success afterwards but predictions made in real time here immediately following my own trades. It’s called expertise and experience.

In short Go and insult people elsewhere. Try Russia although it’s not a nice place to be so I’m told. Especially if you wish to express political opinions in the manner of those that can without fear in the wealthy west.

It seems that the cost of this war is too expensive for all sides. Now we have the prospect of victory being declared on each side following talks that are, no doubt, semi secret but clearly taking place. The cost of losing massive amounts of oil infrastructure certainly caused pause for thoughts. So what next ?

With Trump’s election pledge “No American boots on the ground in wars. “ at risk of being broken will the next step be a ceasefire or a fudged compromise. In either event this war will finish some time soon and for some time after that oil prices will be high, albeit under 100 dollars per barrel. This I do believe will be the period of time when GKP’s profits will increase dramatically. Recent history also tells us that Kurdistan paid debts when they were being paid extra for oil.

That was an opinion I’ve shared here previously with firm hold recommendations, And a recent speculative buy recommendation. Now this positive outcome does seem to be falling into place. A clear reason to hold and why I’m doing precisely that. It’s called confidence or foolishness, including a flight to London via Dubai booked for April 1st. ( April fools day 😩😢)

So Trump’s big mouth threatening tactic didn’t work. Good because hitting energy infrastructure tit for tat would have included Kurdistan. Now we are closer to a fudged compromise. Wars of this intensity won’t last as long as the Ukraine conflict. The time when GKP restarts production at or about 100 dollars per barrel is closer, and in the meantime will some production start ? Money is a very powerful temptation.

The downside risk remains and Iran’s escalation in a war against Isreal isn’t wise. Isreal have more to lose than Trump plus the strength and the will to act in ways that Trump won’t.

Having Oil in a portfolio is wise, although on this occasion my wife had the right idea, gold.

The profit, or should I say the reward, for those that stay with GKP will come after the war when oil prices remain high. In the meantime the governments, both Iraq and Kurdistan, are no doubt putting pressure on international oil companies, including GKP, to produce now. Will they ? We shall see.

Hold

I dare say they are paying themselves handsomely, and why not ?

As for GKPs prospects. Good I believe while oil prices remain high after the war. Therefore I’ve just bought a few @226 which is a few pence more than I sold some a few months ago. 😩

Dare I say that situations change. Personally I might have been a seller at 230, however the near certainty that, when this war concludes, GKP will be pumping ASAP ( if not sooner while the war rages around them ) therefore No ‘clever dick ‘ financial forecasting could be more than a guess, one GKP have chosen to avoid.

Hold for indications of further momentum, then buy if the trend still feels positive.

Seems 221 would have been a buy, we’ve certainly hit a new high post pipeline closure

Buy for the medium term.

With GKP opening around 221 p. Are we being ‘drip fed’ with good news before the detail emerges? We shall soon see but good so far is a good guide to the future. Buy ? Um! @ 221